Hungary is setting closer cooperation with Russia in Chad

Hungary is setting closer cooperation with Russia. Gaspar Orbán, Viktor Orbán’s son, is heavily involved in Hungary’s part in an odd combat mission in Chad, VSquare claims, as further details emerged on Orbán Jr. privately assisting his father in creating a new national security advisory group. This information came out amid increasing Russia’s activity in Chad, with  support for the Idriss Déby Itno regime.

We believe Hungary is highly possible to work on developing a military intelligence hub in Chad, likely to  serve Russia’s interests. Bearing in mind Budapest’s migration policy, we consider the goals voiced by the Hungarian mission in Chad, like terrorism fighting and migration control, just a pretext. Hungary is more likely to help Russia skirt sanctions.

We also believe Orbán is keen on the missions in Chad due to the access to uranium deposits. That might be connected to the Budapest nuclear power project, carried out by Russia. Paks Nuclear Power Plant is one of the reasons why Budapest has not joined the sanctions on Rosatom. That way, Hungary is most likely assisting Russia in infiltrating Chad to take control of uranium deposits and restrict access for French business. This goes in line with the Kremlin’s plans to squeeze France out of Africa.  Hungary is taking part in this influence operation in a subversive effort that targets other EU and NATO nations. Hungary is going to send some 200 troops to Chad, while rejecting and blocking military aid to Ukraine. That makes the Orbán regime even more likely to act in Kremlin’s favor. Gaspar Orbán visited not only Chad in 2024, but also Nigerthat also features uranium deposits, where Russia-backed military junta is holding the power.

Budapest’s military activity abroad raises concerns, as it may speak for upcoming expeditionary ops amid Hungary’s territorial claims and imperial ambitions.

Gaspar Orbán has obviously become one of the main communication channels between Budapest and Moscow. This may raise the risk of sensitive data leak to Russia, through the EU and NATO.If we previously witnessed signs of interaction between the Orbán regime and Russia’s political intelligence, joint ops in Chad are likely to speak for the contacts with Russia’s military intelligence. With this hypothesis valid, Budapest might take more radical and aggressive steps both in Europe and beyond the continent. In this context, Budapest is quite possible to be involved in the GRU (Main Directorate of the General Staff) ops in Europe.