On the night of 03 February 2026, Russia carried out a combined air attack against Ukraine. In total, Russian forces employed 450 strike UAVs, 4 3M22 Zircon anti-ship missiles, 32 Iskander-M / S-400 ballistic missiles, 7 Kh-22 /…
Republican Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna invited deputies of the State Duma of the Russian Federation to Washington with the declared purpose of holding consultations and discussions on a peaceful settlement of the war in…
Russia’s supply of Yak-130 trainer/light attack aircraft and Orion strike UAVs to Ethiopia provides Addis Ababa with additional strike and reconnaissance capabilities without the political conditions that typically accompany Western military assistance. For the United States,…
In the new version of Russia’s Information Security Doctrine, mobile devices, satellite internet systems such as Starlink, as well as email services and other IT technologies developed by Western companies…
Barbados votes on February 11, 2026 to elect all 30 seats in the House of Assembly (majority 16) after Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley called an early election; parliament is to be dissolved Jan. 19 and nomination day was…
What’s pushing the probability up What’s pushing the probability down Analytic judgment (with uncertainty) If you want a simple framing: a limited strike is “plausible”, a major war-opening campaign is less likely unless there’s…
