In the new version of Russia’s Information Security Doctrine, mobile devices, satellite internet systems such as Starlink, as well as email services and other IT technologies developed by Western companies…
Barbados votes on February 11, 2026 to elect all 30 seats in the House of Assembly (majority 16) after Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley called an early election; parliament is to be dissolved Jan. 19 and nomination day was…
What’s pushing the probability up What’s pushing the probability down Analytic judgment (with uncertainty) If you want a simple framing: a limited strike is “plausible”, a major war-opening campaign is less likely unless there’s…
On 8 February 2026, Thailand held a snap general election to choose the 500-seat House of Representatives and, concurrently, a national referendum on whether to begin drafting a new constitution to replace the charter adopted…
Costa Ricans vote February 1, 2026 to elect a president + 57-seat Legislative Assembly; a runoff is scheduled for April 5 if no candidate reaches the 40% threshold. This contest is being fought in the shadow of…
Despite Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s repeated attempts to cloak his parliamentary pre-election campaign, scheduled for April, in pacifist rhetoric, it is increasingly difficult to sustain the claim that Hungary remains…
