Warfare Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Russia’s Telegram Recruitment Networks: The Kremlin’s Proxy Sabotage Campaign Against NATO and the European Union

Russian recruitment networks operating through the Telegram messaging platform initially sought individuals willing to carry out acts of sabotage in Ukraine. Today, Russian intelligence services are actively using the same…

July 9, 2026Russia

Conflict Estimates Warfare

Crimea in the Dark: What the Peninsula-Wide Blackout Reveals About Russia’s Military Resilience and Occupation Governance

Following a large-scale drone attack, the Crimean Peninsula was left completely without electricity. The peninsula-wide blackout was officially confirmed by the hotline of Krymenergo, the regional electricity provider. Company representatives…

July 7, 2026Russia, Ukraine

Nonproliferation Psyops Warfare

China’s CBRN Training for Russia and the Nuclear Shadow over Ukraine

Reuters’ report on Chinese training for Russian forces in radiological, chemical, and biological protectionopens a serious window into the evolution of the Ukraine war, because it suggests that Moscow is preparing its military to function inside a…

July 1, 2026China, nuclear weapons, Russia

National Security Warfare

Japanese Technologies in the Production Cycle of KN-23/KN-24 Missiles

Risks to Japan’s National Security and the Need for Enhanced Export Controls Analysis of debris from North Korean KN-23 and KN-24 ballistic missiles used by Russia in attacks against Ukraine…

June 2, 2026China, DPRK, Japan, Sanctions, USA

Conflict Geopolitics Terrorism Warfare

Russian Shahed Strike on Romania and the Targeting of a Turkish Vessel in the Black Sea: Accident, Escalation, or Deliberate Strategy?

The reported impact of a Russian-origin Shahed-type drone on a residential building in the Romanian city of Galați, combined with the reported strike on a Turkish-operated vessel departing a Ukrainian…

May 29, 2026NATO, Romania, Russia, Turkiye, Ukraine

National Security Terrorism Warfare

The Invisible Attack: How Russia’s GPS Spoofing Campaign Threatens European Aviation and NATO Security

Russia is capable of deliberately distorting GPS signals across parts of Europe, creating risks for security and navigation. According to Darius Kulešius, deputy head of Lithuania’s communications regulator, Russia has…

May 27, 2026EW, NATO, Russia, spoofing

Geopolitics Nonproliferation Warfare

Russia’s Nuclear Shadow over Europe: Belarus as the Kremlin’s Forward Nuclear Platform

Russia, as part of large-scale three-day exercises on the preparation and potential use of nuclear weapons (May 19–21), delivered nuclear munitions to field storage sites on the territory of Belarus.…

May 22, 2026Belarus, nuclear weapons, Russia

Conflict Intelligence ops National Security Warfare

Russia’s Passportization of Transnistria: A Hidden Mobilization Reserve for the Kremlin’s Future Wars

Russia’s Passport Expansion in Transnistria: A Hybrid Mobilization Tool and a Potential Prelude to Regional Escalation President of the Republic of Moldova Maia Sandu sharply criticized Vladimir Putin’s decree simplifying the acquisition…

May 18, 2026Moldova, Russia, Transnistria

Conflict Warfare

Russia’s Setback in Mali: Intelligence Failures, Strategic Limits, and the Future of Moscow’s Africa Project

Russia’s recent military and political setbacks in Mali represent more than a tactical defeat in the Sahel. The withdrawal of the Russian-controlled Africa Corps from key northern positions such as Kidal…

May 11, 2026Mali, Russia

ideology Terrorism War crimes Warfare

Mali at the Breaking Point: Insurgency Resurgence, Russian Intervention, and the Limits of the Africa Corps

The situation in Mali in 2026 reflects the collapse of a decade-long international counterterrorism architecture and the failure of its replacement by Russian-backed forces. What was initially framed by the military…

April 27, 2026Mali, Russia

Warfare