Geopolitics Archives

Russia’s Madagascar Gambit: GRU, Ports and a New Indian Ocean Foothold

Russia appears to be building in Madagascar something more consequential than another African security partnership. The pattern described in the September 23 investigation by Radio Liberty points toward an emerging integrated…

September 26, 2026Madagascar, Wagner Group

Geopolitics Governance influence ops

Arras as a Platform for Pro-Russian Mobilization: Florian Philippot’s Network Ahead of the 2027 Campaign

The Assises de la Souveraineté, held near Arras on September 12, 2026 and organized by Florian Philippot’s Les Patriotes, should be viewed as more than another anti-war or anti-sanctions event.…

September 21, 2026France, Phillippot

Geopolitics Governance

Sudan–Ethiopia: The Emerging Risk of a Second War in the Horn of Africa

The probability of a direct military confrontation between Sudan and Ethiopia has increased substantially in 2026, although a deliberate, full-scale interstate war remains constrained by the fact that both governments…

September 17, 2026Egypt, Ethiopia, Sudan

Geoeconomics Geopolitics Governance

One Against 26: How Fico Uses EU Unanimity in Moscow’s Interests

Slovakia remains the only EU member state that, at ambassadorial level in Brussels, has blocked the proposed 12-month extension of part of the anti-Russian sanctions, insisting on retaining a six-month…

September 11, 2026Slovakia

Democracy Geopolitics Governance

Rozwój Plus as a Challenge to PiS: Morawiecki Builds an Alternative Center of the Polish Right

A conflict is deepening within the local structures of Law and Justice (Prawo i Sprawiedliwość, PiS) in Lublin, potentially reflecting a broader struggle over the future configuration of Poland’s right-wing conservative camp.…

September 10, 2026Poland

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

The End of the “Budapest Exception”: Hungary Dismantles Russia’s Influence Infrastructure

Hungary’s decision to declare ten employees of the Russian diplomatic mission personae non gratae is one of the clearest signals of a shift in Budapest’s security and foreign-policy model since…

September 9, 2026Hungary

Geopolitics

“Mutual Sustainment of Wars: A New Model of the Russia–Iran Alliance”

The meeting between Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on September 1 at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek indicates that Russian-Iranian relations are moving toward a deeper…

September 3, 2026Iran, Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics influence ops Intelligence ops

Zaolzie as an Instrument of Influence: An Attempt to Revive a Polish-Czech Territorial Conflict

The information campaign that unfolded in Poland and the Czech Republic in August 2026 around Cieszyn Silesia bears the hallmarks of a coordinated influence operation. It combined the hacking of…

August 27, 2026Czech Republic, Poland, Russia, Slovakia

Geopolitics

From Spoiler to Broker: Can Russia Bridge the ECOWAS–Sahel Divide?

In 2023, relations between West Africa’s coastal states and the military-led governments of the Sahel deteriorated to an unprecedented level. Following the coup in Niger, the Economic Community of West…

August 21, 2026Russia, Sahel

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

Georgia Was Not the Beginning

Every August, the anniversary of Russia's invasion of Georgia is accompanied by familiar reflections about missed warning signs, intelligence failures, and a supposedly unexpected turning point in European security. The…

August 11, 2026Georgia, Russia

Geopolitics

Russia’s Madagascar Gambit: GRU, Ports and a New Indian Ocean Foothold

Arras as a Platform for Pro-Russian Mobilization: Florian Philippot’s Network Ahead of the 2027 Campaign

Sudan–Ethiopia: The Emerging Risk of a Second War in the Horn of Africa

One Against 26: How Fico Uses EU Unanimity in Moscow’s Interests

Rozwój Plus as a Challenge to PiS: Morawiecki Builds an Alternative Center of the Polish Right

The End of the “Budapest Exception”: Hungary Dismantles Russia’s Influence Infrastructure

“Mutual Sustainment of Wars: A New Model of the Russia–Iran Alliance”

Zaolzie as an Instrument of Influence: An Attempt to Revive a Polish-Czech Territorial Conflict

From Spoiler to Broker: Can Russia Bridge the ECOWAS–Sahel Divide?

Georgia Was Not the Beginning

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