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Governance

Possible Kadyrov’s death to create turbulence in Russia
Posted inGovernance

Possible Kadyrov’s death to create turbulence in Russia

Uncertainty surrounding the health condition of Chechnya leader Ramzan Kadyrov sparks turbulence in Russia's domestic politics and creates additional risks for stability across the Caucasus. Rumors about Kadyrov's grave illness…
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September 20, 2023Tags: Chechnia, Kadyrov, Russia
The sanctioned Dodik, threatens the already fragile peace in BiH
Posted inConflict Governance

The sanctioned Dodik, threatens the already fragile peace in BiH

The situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina is currently quite fragile and it is anticipated that things would get worse if Bosnian Serb representative Milorad Dodik withdraws from the BiH institutions…
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September 15, 2023Tags: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Republica Srpska, Serbia
The US sanctioning of Vulin sparks demand for new political leadership in Serbia
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

The US sanctioning of Vulin sparks demand for new political leadership in Serbia

Aleksandar Vulin, the director of the Serbian Intelligence, was subject to sanctions last month by the US. According to a statement from Washington regarding Vulin's sanctions, he is involved in international…
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September 8, 2023Tags: Serbia, USA
The 2024 Iran election: key problems and possible scenarios to develop
Posted inGovernance

The 2024 Iran election: key problems and possible scenarios to develop

Upcoming votes in spring 2024 in Iran pose a dilemma for Ali Khamenei: should he disqualify candidates aggressively and continue alienating the public? Or, risk a Majlis dominated by his…
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September 4, 2023Tags: Iran
Russia facing changes following Prigozhin’s plane crash
Posted inGovernance Intelligence ops

Russia facing changes following Prigozhin’s plane crash

The likely liquidation of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin will likely lead to tectonic shifts in Russia’s political system. On August 23, a business jet belonging to Mr Prigozhin was…
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August 24, 2023Tags: Prigozhin, Russia, Wagner Group
The 2023 Liberian presidential elections: violence risks runs high while no candidate is ready to lose
Posted inDemocracy Governance

The 2023 Liberian presidential elections: violence risks runs high while no candidate is ready to lose

Whoever wins election in Liberia, the loser or losers might not readily accept defeat that rises a bid of violence. In most African presidential elections, the losing candidate cries fault, justly…
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August 16, 2023Tags: Liberia
Pakistani ISI strengthens political influence in the country by lobbying for the legislation amendments 
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Pakistani ISI strengthens political influence in the country by lobbying for the legislation amendments 

The National Assembly (Parliament) of Pakistan green-lighted the intelligence law proposed by the government. The legislative initiative grants wider powers to the country's top intelligence agencies and provides for a three-year prison term for anyone guilty of…
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August 9, 2023Tags: ISI, Pakistan
How dynamically the influence of Putin’s close circle changes
Posted inGovernance

How dynamically the influence of Putin’s close circle changes

In between 2021 and July 2023, Russia's governance system has experienced serious changes, mainly caused by events that have weakened the leadership position of President Vladimir Putin and hurt reputation…
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July 31, 2023Tags: Russia
South Africa summit shows Russia’s president-level diplomacy problems
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

South Africa summit shows Russia’s president-level diplomacy problems

Preparations for the BRICS Summit demonstrate Russia’s vulnerable position and limited powers of the Russian President following the arrest warrant issued by the International Criminal Court (ICC). Russia's President Vladimir Putin will not be attending the BRICS Summit in Johannesburg…
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July 21, 2023Tags: BRICS, Russia, South Africa
Prigozhin’s rebellion in Russia: national political consequences analysis 
Posted inGovernance National Security

Prigozhin’s rebellion in Russia: national political consequences analysis 

Yevgeny Prigozhin's rebellion in Russia led to strengthening of the influence and powers of the FSB group, controlled by Nikolai Patrushev, the Secretary of the Russian Federation Security Council. This group is…
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July 14, 2023Tags: Patrushev, Prigozhin, Putin, Russia

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