National Security Archives - Page 8 of 11

Russia looking for reason to launch nuclear testing and total mobilization

The Kremlin is most likely to gear up for provocations followed by radiation poisoning, according to some reports coming from Russia. We've seen regular RFF9903 Moscow-Sarov-Novaya Zemlya flights by An-148-100…

August 18, 2023nuclear weapons, Rosatom, Russia, Ukraine

Governance National Security

Prigozhin’s rebellion in Russia: national political consequences analysis

Yevgeny Prigozhin's rebellion in Russia led to strengthening of the influence and powers of the FSB group, controlled by Nikolai Patrushev, the Secretary of the Russian Federation Security Council. This group is…

July 14, 2023Patrushev, Prigozhin, Putin, Russia

Estimates National Security

NATO summit in Vilnius unlikely to avoid the issues of enlarging Alliance or nuclear safety

There are signs that Putin's entourage increasingly resorts to the rhetoric of nuclear or large-scale man-made disaster threats, as things are getting wrong for Moscow in its war in Ukraine.…

July 10, 2023NATO, nuclear weapons

Geopolitics Intelligence ops National Security

China likely to share SIGINT with Russians

Moscow is more likely to join efforts with Cuba-based Chinese SIGINT facility, targeting the U.S. The RLI predicted in February 2022 that Russia might reopen the Lourdes intelligence facility that had…

June 27, 2023China, GRU, Russia, USA

Democracy Intelligence ops National Security

Russia launching massive election meddling operation in Germany

Russian intelligence is undertaking active efforts to interfere in the German political life, dismantle the current government, and bring to power politicians loyal to Moscow. The Kremlin continues to engage…

June 22, 2023AfD, Germany, Russia

Intelligence ops National Security Psyops

Psyops run by Russian intelligence reflect HUMINT crisis, set to focus on further falsification of documents

In the next 30-45 days, new portions of leaks from U.S. government agencies should be expected. However, these “leaks” will in fact be about troves of falsified documents that allegedly…

April 11, 2023GRU, Russia, SVR, USA

- Intelligence ops National Security

FSB likely to hold back Iran-Russia cyber cooperation

Iran seeks to bolster the cyber attack capacity, with more control of telecommunication networks to minimize threats by the opposition and activists. Threats to the current regime serve to enhance effort by Tehran and Moscow to set up efficient control of information field. In June 2015, Brigadier General…

April 5, 2023Iran, Russia

National Security Warfare

Iran uses Russian war on Ukraine to modernize, develop own UAV program

The Iranian UAV program is on a spree of further expanding cooperation with Russia. Moscow's demand for cheap and user-friendly drones leads the Kremlin to try to both increase the…

March 29, 2023Iran

Geopolitics National Security

Scholz’s political motives in view of Russia’s war on Ukraine

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s visit to the United States, where he met with President Joe Biden, demonstrated a significant beef-up of Berlin’s international posture over the past year. However, the…

March 3, 2023Germany, Ukraine, USA

Democracy Geopolitics National Security

Military and political risks to the Euro-Atlantic region in the context of Orban’s policies

The policy of the Orban government requires decisions to be made to maintain the effectiveness and unity of NATO, as well as preventing a further split in the integrity of…

March 3, 2023Hungary, NATO, USA

National Security