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Robert Lansing Institute
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Ethiopia

Reasons and prospects for the Amhara Rebellion
Posted inConflict Democracy Governance

Reasons and prospects for the Amhara Rebellion

Ethiopia is in the grip of a civil war again between federal government forces and the Fano, a loose alliance of ethnic-based militia in the Amhara region. This conflict in Ethiopia's north erupted…
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April 4, 2025Tags: Amhara, Ethiopia
Ethiopia’s Red Sea Aspirations and Eritrea’s Interference in Tigray Heighten War Risks
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

Ethiopia’s Red Sea Aspirations and Eritrea’s Interference in Tigray Heighten War Risks

Ethiopia's ambition to secure Red Sea access and Eritrea's interference in Ethiopia's internal affairs and a power struggle in Tigray could explode into a wider regional war.  More on this story: Estimations:…
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March 20, 2025Tags: Eritrea, Ethiopia
The Amhara Insurgency: External Influences and the Evolving Geopolitical Landscape in Ethiopia
Posted inConflict

The Amhara Insurgency: External Influences and the Evolving Geopolitical Landscape in Ethiopia

The conflict in Amhara poses a serious threat to Ethiopia’s fragile stability. It not only challenges the federal government’s authority but also risks deepening ethnic divisions, which could have far-reaching…
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November 11, 2024Tags: Amhara, Ethiopia
Egypt creates anti-Ethiopia alliance in the Horn of Africa
Posted inConflict Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Egypt creates anti-Ethiopia alliance in the Horn of Africa

The recent strengthening of relations between Egypt and certain African nations may indicate a rising likelihood of conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia. In early October, the presidents of Egypt, Eritrea,…
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November 1, 2024Tags: Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Somaliland
Ethiopia’s Fears of Losing regional Influence
Posted inGeopolitics

Ethiopia’s Fears of Losing regional Influence

The tension between Ethiopia and Egypt appears to have escalated as Cairo extends support to Somalia's peace mission and an offer of security personnel to replace the African Union-backed force,…
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September 2, 2024Tags: Egypt, Ethiopia, Somalia, Somaliland
Türkiye seeks to maintain a balance against the potential disruption of geostrategic interests
Posted inGeopolitics Peacekeeping

Türkiye seeks to maintain a balance against the potential disruption of geostrategic interests

Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud announced in a hard-hitting televised speech on the evening of 17 August that his country would not hold further talks with Ethiopia unless it "recognises the sovereignty…
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August 23, 2024Tags: Ethiopia, Somalia, Turkiye
Ethiopia is allowing interception of communications without court order further defeating democracy standards 
Posted inDemocracy Governance Intelligence ops

Ethiopia is allowing interception of communications without court order further defeating democracy standards 

The Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives is currently considering a new bill that would empower investigators to intercept communications and correspondence without judicial authorization. This authority would be applicable in specific cases…
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June 13, 2024Tags: Ethiopia
Estimations: Will Ethiopia and Eritrea start military conflict over Red Sea ports access
Posted inConflict Estimates Geopolitics

Estimations: Will Ethiopia and Eritrea start military conflict over Red Sea ports access

There are emerging fears that all the gains made five years ago toward Ethiopia and Eritrea peace could soon be in jeopardy. Prime Minister Abiy said that Ethiopia deserves a port on the Red Sea of…
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November 17, 2023Tags: Eritrea, Ethiopia
Referendum in Ethiopia: more chance for broader military conflict
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Referendum in Ethiopia: more chance for broader military conflict

A referendum to solve territorial dispute between Ethiopia's northern Amhara and Tigray regions has threatened to disrupt the peace following the end of the civil war in Tigray a year ago. Fighting…
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November 8, 2023Tags: Amhara, Ethiopia, Tigray
Ethiopia’s Regional Forces Reintegration likely to put them in shadow
Posted inGovernance

Ethiopia’s Regional Forces Reintegration likely to put them in shadow

The Ethiopian government intends to integrate all regional special forces - either into the national army or the federal or regional police. The move will likely be perceived as an…
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April 10, 2023Tags: Ethiopia

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