Ethiopia Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Ethiopia’s Red Sea Aspirations and Eritrea’s Interference in Tigray Heighten War Risks

Ethiopia's ambition to secure Red Sea access and Eritrea's interference in Ethiopia's internal affairs and a power struggle in Tigray could explode into a wider regional war. More on this story: Estimations:…

March 20, 2025Eritrea, Ethiopia

Conflict

The Amhara Insurgency: External Influences and the Evolving Geopolitical Landscape in Ethiopia

The conflict in Amhara poses a serious threat to Ethiopia’s fragile stability. It not only challenges the federal government’s authority but also risks deepening ethnic divisions, which could have far-reaching…

November 11, 2024Amhara, Ethiopia

Conflict Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Egypt creates anti-Ethiopia alliance in the Horn of Africa

The recent strengthening of relations between Egypt and certain African nations may indicate a rising likelihood of conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia. In early October, the presidents of Egypt, Eritrea,…

November 1, 2024Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Somaliland

Geopolitics

Ethiopia’s Fears of Losing regional Influence

The tension between Ethiopia and Egypt appears to have escalated as Cairo extends support to Somalia's peace mission and an offer of security personnel to replace the African Union-backed force,…

September 2, 2024Egypt, Ethiopia, Somalia, Somaliland

Geopolitics Peacekeeping

Türkiye seeks to maintain a balance against the potential disruption of geostrategic interests

Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud announced in a hard-hitting televised speech on the evening of 17 August that his country would not hold further talks with Ethiopia unless it "recognises the sovereignty…

August 23, 2024Ethiopia, Somalia, Turkiye

Democracy Governance Intelligence ops

Ethiopia is allowing interception of communications without court order further defeating democracy standards

The Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives is currently considering a new bill that would empower investigators to intercept communications and correspondence without judicial authorization. This authority would be applicable in specific cases…

June 13, 2024Ethiopia

Conflict Estimates Geopolitics

Estimations: Will Ethiopia and Eritrea start military conflict over Red Sea ports access

There are emerging fears that all the gains made five years ago toward Ethiopia and Eritrea peace could soon be in jeopardy. Prime Minister Abiy said that Ethiopia deserves a port on the Red Sea of…

November 17, 2023Eritrea, Ethiopia

Democracy Governance

Referendum in Ethiopia: more chance for broader military conflict

A referendum to solve territorial dispute between Ethiopia's northern Amhara and Tigray regions has threatened to disrupt the peace following the end of the civil war in Tigray a year ago. Fighting…

November 8, 2023Amhara, Ethiopia, Tigray

Governance

Ethiopia’s Regional Forces Reintegration likely to put them in shadow

The Ethiopian government intends to integrate all regional special forces - either into the national army or the federal or regional police. The move will likely be perceived as an…

April 10, 2023Ethiopia

Conflict Intelligence ops

Russia uses African mercenaries as consumables in the war against Ukraine

Russia recruits mercenaries in African countries to have them engaged in the war against Ukraine. Despite lack of experience of combat operations in the climatic conditions of Europe, the Russian…

April 25, 2022Ethiopia, Russia

Ethiopia