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Ukraine

Donald Trump and the Prospects of Peace: Strategic Implications of Ukraine-Russia Negotiations
Posted inGeopolitics National Security

Donald Trump and the Prospects of Peace: Strategic Implications of Ukraine-Russia Negotiations

While there is a renewed impetus for peace talks in 2025, driven by changes in U.S. leadership and Ukraine's diplomatic initiatives, significant obstacles remain. The success of any negotiations will…
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January 7, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA
Russian Gas, Geopolitical Risks, and the Path to Conflict
Posted in- Energy Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Russian Gas, Geopolitical Risks, and the Path to Conflict

The European Union remains divided on achieving energy independence from Russian gas. By demonstrating flexibility and a willingness to resume importing Russian gas, Europe risks escalating tensions with Moscow and…
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January 2, 2025Tags: Hungary, NATO, Russia, Slovakia, Ukraine
Russia Prepares to Transfer Remaining Equipment and Ammunition from Syria to Ukraine
Posted inConflict Warfare

Russia Prepares to Transfer Remaining Equipment and Ammunition from Syria to Ukraine

In the aftermath of the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime and the rapid advance of rebel forces deep into Syrian territory, Russia is grappling with the challenge of evacuating military…
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December 10, 2024Tags: Russia, Syria, Turkiye, Ukraine
Russia Draws Egypt into Violations of International Law and UN Resolutions
Posted inIntelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Russia Draws Egypt into Violations of International Law and UN Resolutions

Russia continues its aggressive propaganda efforts to portray the annexation of Crimea as a "legitimate" act, in stark defiance of international law and UN resolutions. A Propaganda Tour for Egyptian…
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December 9, 2024Tags: Egypt, Russia, Ukraine
The Decline of Assad’s Grip and Russia’s Waning Influence in Syria”
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

The Decline of Assad’s Grip and Russia’s Waning Influence in Syria”

While Russia is unlikely to completely abandon Assad in the short term, the scope of its support may diminish as global and regional pressures mount. Moscow’s continued involvement will likely…
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December 5, 2024Tags: Israel, Russia, Syria, Ukraine
Russia Tests the Waters in Turning Georgia into a Confederation under the Cloak of Tbilisi Cooperation
Posted inGeopolitics Governance Intelligence ops

Russia Tests the Waters in Turning Georgia into a Confederation under the Cloak of Tbilisi Cooperation

In both Georgia and the breakaway region of Abkhazia, speculation is mounting that the Kremlin might be willing to appease the Georgian authorities by creating an illusion of returning control…
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November 13, 2024Tags: Abkhazia, Georgia, Russia, South Ossetia, Ukraine
Russian extensive influence campaign in Israel
Posted inIntelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Russian extensive influence campaign in Israel

Leaked information published by leading German media outlets has revealed Russia’s plans for an influence campaign targeting Israel. The information was leaked earlier this month by the German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung and…
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October 1, 2024Tags: Israel, Russia, Ukraine
Failed Satan II Missile Test Heightens Concerns About Russia’s Nuclear Arsenal
Posted inGeopolitics National Security Nonproliferation Psyops

Failed Satan II Missile Test Heightens Concerns About Russia’s Nuclear Arsenal

The unsuccessful test of Russia’s intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) "Sarmat" (also known as Satan II) in September of this year underscores earlier assessments that the state of Russia's nuclear arsenal…
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September 27, 2024Tags: nuclear weapons, Russia, Ukraine
China Continues Supplying Russia with Critical Dual-Use Components
Posted inSituation Reports Warfare

China Continues Supplying Russia with Critical Dual-Use Components

China has introduced new restrictions on the export of dual-use goods to Russia starting on September 1, a notable shift given China’s role as a key supplier of such items…
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September 24, 2024Tags: China, Russia, Ukraine
High Probability of Power Transition Preparations in Belarus
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

High Probability of Power Transition Preparations in Belarus

There are growing indicators that Alexander Lukashenko is preparing for a power transition in Belarus. It appears likely that he is aiming for a controlled and self-managed transfer of power,…
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August 21, 2024Tags: Belarus, Russia, Ukraine

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