Wagner Group Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Wagner’s Business Model inSyria and Africa: Profit and Patronage

This paper examines whether the Wagner Group (Wagner) was profitable under its founder Yevgeny Prigozhin, what its business model has meant for Russia and Russia’s geopolitical rivals in the recent…

February 6, 2025Wagner Group

Intelligence ops War crimes

Russia May Be Involved in Violating Arms Embargo in Darfur

The circumstances surrounding the destruction of a military transport aircraft in North Darfur may point to the existence of supply channels funneling Russian weapons into Sudan. On October 22, an…

October 22, 2024Darfur, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Sudan, UAE, Wagner Group

Democracy Governance Intelligence ops

Moldova’s President Maia Sandu Thwarts Russian-Backed Unrest, Successfully Leads Democratic Elections

Moldova’s President Maia Sandu Thwarts Russian-Backed Unrest, Successfully Leads Democratic Elections In a critical moment for Moldova’s democracy, President Maia Sandu and her government managed to maintain stability during the…

October 21, 2024Maia Sandu, Moldova, Russia, Wagner Group

War crimes

Russian Military Crimes in Mali Highlight Propensity for Sadism and Atrocities by Russian Expeditionary Groups

Russia continues to commit war crimes on the African continent. We previously analyzed numerous incidents of violence, extrajudicial killings, and rapes perpetrated by Wagner Group mercenaries in the Central African…

August 6, 2024Mali, Russia, Wagner Group

Geopolitics

Chad heads towards Russia’s protectorate

Chad is likely to become the next African nation where Russia is going to replace the Western footprint. This perspective goes in line with the Kremlin’s pattern of ousting Paris…

April 30, 2024Chad, France, Russia, Wagner Group

Democracy War crimes

The worsening insurgency and insecurity in Mali

One of the major reasons the junta in Bamako gave for taking power from civilian rulers was the worsening insurgency and insecurity in Mali. According to them, and other coup makers…

March 29, 2024Mali, Wagner Group

Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops War crimes

The Crocus City Hall attack: the suspects’ tortures signals about the Kremlin’s weakness and revenge for the special services’ failure

The way Russian law enforcement officers treat the alleged suspects of the deadly terrorist attack at the Moscow Crocus City Hall indicates that Russian chauvinism and nationalism have made abusing Muslims as…

March 28, 2024FSB, Russia, Wagner Group

Democracy Governance

Comoros protests are likely to shrink

Comoros opposition is unlikely to reach presidential reelection through street clashing, as army will quell protests. The risks of an armed uprising are extremely low. Assoumani could be supported by…

January 19, 2024Comoros, Wagner Group

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

Moscow concerned about losing colonial influence in the CAR, plans to intensify more on the continent

Russian government is quite concerned about the risks of losing its influence in the Central African Republic and access to its natural resources. Since 2014, in response to Western sanctions…

December 21, 2023CAR, Russia, Wagner Group

Conflict Propaganda and Disinformation Warfare

Russian PsyOp proves the Kremlin’s involvement in the operation agaist Israel

The forecasting about Russia’s misinformation campaign aimed at diverting attention to another 'unsuitable' target in matters of supplying weapons to Hamas militants for attacking Israel was confirmed. On October 7,…

October 9, 2023HAMAS, Israel, Palestine, Russia, Wagner Group

Wagner Group