Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

The 2024 Iran election: key problems and possible scenarios to develop

Upcoming votes in spring 2024 in Iran pose a dilemma for Ali Khamenei: should he disqualify candidates aggressively and continue alienating the public? Or, risk a Majlis dominated by his…

September 4, 2023Iran

profile

Psychological profile of Hungary’s Prime Minister

Viktor Orbán is a Hungarian state figure and politician, a pro-Russian leader in Europe, and Eurosceptic, who used harsh language to criticize Russia up to a certain time. His model…

September 1, 2023Hungary, Orban

Coup

Gabon coup: foreign partners chosen by mutinous officers to determine the outcome.

Gabon military officers appeared on national television to announce they seized power. Is obvious now that foreign partners do not yet clearly support this coup. The coup was mostly spontaneous,…

August 30, 2023France, Gabon

profile

Chief of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia: psychological profile

Sergey Naryshkin is a Russian politician, ex-speaker of the lower house of the State Duma, ex-head of the Kremlin administration. He has run the government apparatus, the investment division of…

August 29, 2023Naryshkin, Russia, SVR

Propaganda and Disinformation War crimes

Russian Information warfare repeats Kosovo Liberation Army accusations for Ukrainian Army

Textbook information warfare or special propaganda, Russian infiltration in EU institutions produces gruesome accusations for Ukrainian Army for harvesting human organs for the black market similar to accusations made by…

August 28, 2023Kosovo, Russia, Ukraine

Governance Intelligence ops

Russia facing changes following Prigozhin’s plane crash

The likely liquidation of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin will likely lead to tectonic shifts in Russia’s political system. On August 23, a business jet belonging to Mr Prigozhin was…

August 24, 2023Prigozhin, Russia, Wagner Group

Intelligence ops migration National Security

The Kremlin’s subversive activity pulls closer religious clashes in Western Europe

It is getting overwhelmingly likely that, in the context of a sharp confrontation with the West, the Kremlin intends to place a bet on fueling religious conflict in Europe. Such a…

August 23, 2023Russia

- Conflict Geopolitics

Serbia poses a threat to NATO allies

Due to recognition of Kosova’s independence, Montenegro and North Macedonia were recently threatened by the Serbian government. The threat was posed by none other than the Serbia’s minister of defense Milos…

August 22, 2023Kosovo, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia

National Security Nonproliferation War crimes

Russia looking for reason to launch nuclear testing and total mobilization

The Kremlin is most likely to gear up for provocations followed by radiation poisoning, according to some reports coming from Russia. We've seen regular RFF9903 Moscow-Sarov-Novaya Zemlya flights by An-148-100…

August 18, 2023nuclear weapons, Rosatom, Russia, Ukraine

Democracy Governance

The 2023 Liberian presidential elections: violence risks runs high while no candidate is ready to lose

Whoever wins election in Liberia, the loser or losers might not readily accept defeat that rises a bid of violence. In most African presidential elections, the losing candidate cries fault, justly…

August 16, 2023Liberia

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