Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Sudan–Ethiopia: The Emerging Risk of a Second War in the Horn of Africa

The probability of a direct military confrontation between Sudan and Ethiopia has increased substantially in 2026, although a deliberate, full-scale interstate war remains constrained by the fact that both governments…

September 17, 2026Egypt, Ethiopia, Sudan

Democracy Governance

Elections as an Instrument of Annexation: Why the Kremlin Needs State Duma Voting in the Occupied Territories of Ukraine

On September 18–20, 2026, Russia is holding elections to the ninth convocation of the State Duma. For the first time since the start of the full-scale invasion, Moscow is incorporating…

September 17, 2026elections, Russia, Ukraine

influence ops Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Poland “in Two or Three Days”: The Kremlin Returns to the Model of Psychological Blitzkrieg

On September 15, 2026, Russian presidential aide and former Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev issued a direct threat against Poland, saying that in the event of a military conflict Moscow…

September 16, 2026Patrushev, Poland, Russia

Governance

South Sudan’s December 2026 Elections: Why a Vote Is Becoming Increasingly Difficult—and Potentially More Dangerous Than Another Delay

South Sudan is formally scheduled to hold its first national elections since independence on 22 December 2026. President Salva Kiir’s government insists that the vote will proceed, and in recent months…

September 15, 2026South Sudan

Democracy Governance ideology

From National Priority to Welfare Nationalism: How Le Pen Is Using the Housing Crisis to Expand the RN Electorate

Emmanuelle Cosse, president of the Union sociale pour l’habitat (USH) and a former French housing minister, sharply criticized Marine Le Pen’s proposal to introduce “national priority” into housing policy—giving French…

September 15, 2026France

Intelligence ops Terrorism Warfare

Normandy as a Warning: The Accident Confirms RLI’s Forecast About the Vulnerability of Europe’s Railways

On Friday evening, At 7:45 p.m., between Tourville-la-Rivière and Elbeuf–Saint-Aubin stations, within the commune of Cléon (Seine-Maritime), approximately 15–20 km south of Rouen. AFP highlights an important detail: the site is…

September 14, 2026France, railroads

Geoeconomics Geopolitics Governance

One Against 26: How Fico Uses EU Unanimity in Moscow’s Interests

Slovakia remains the only EU member state that, at ambassadorial level in Brussels, has blocked the proposed 12-month extension of part of the anti-Russian sanctions, insisting on retaining a six-month…

September 11, 2026Slovakia

Democracy Geopolitics Governance

Rozwój Plus as a Challenge to PiS: Morawiecki Builds an Alternative Center of the Polish Right

A conflict is deepening within the local structures of Law and Justice (Prawo i Sprawiedliwość, PiS) in Lublin, potentially reflecting a broader struggle over the future configuration of Poland’s right-wing conservative camp.…

September 10, 2026Poland

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

The End of the “Budapest Exception”: Hungary Dismantles Russia’s Influence Infrastructure

Hungary’s decision to declare ten employees of the Russian diplomatic mission personae non gratae is one of the clearest signals of a shift in Budapest’s security and foreign-policy model since…

September 9, 2026Hungary

Intelligence ops National Security

Leipzig, Serbia and Russia’s Shadow War: Coincidence, Corridor or Network?

The attempted drone attack at Leipzig/Halle Airport was supposed to be a German security story. It is rapidly becoming a Serbian one. On August 4, an explosives-laden drone was discovered…

September 8, 2026Russia, Serbia

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