Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

China likely to share SIGINT with Russians

Moscow is more likely to join efforts with Cuba-based Chinese SIGINT facility, targeting the U.S. The RLI predicted in February 2022 that Russia might reopen the Lourdes intelligence facility that had…

June 27, 2023China, GRU, Russia, USA

Conflict

Assessing the early elections as a long-term solution to the crisis in north Kosova

Even after three weeks, there is still high level of tension in Kosova's north. The incident days before, when the Serbian police crossed the border into Kosova to abduct three…

June 26, 2023Kosovo, Serbia

Coup Governance

Mutiny in Russia: roots and risks

A rebellion rapidly unfolding in Russia comes as a direct consequence of the Putin regime’s weakening and the dramatic imbalance of the country’s system of checks and balances. By unleashing…

June 24, 2023Prigozhin, Russia, Wagner Group

Democracy Intelligence ops National Security

Russia launching massive election meddling operation in Germany

Russian intelligence is undertaking active efforts to interfere in the German political life, dismantle the current government, and bring to power politicians loyal to Moscow. The Kremlin continues to engage…

June 22, 2023AfD, Germany, Russia

Democracy Governance ideology

Anti-Semitism on rise in Russian leaders’ rhetoric

Speaking at a St. Petersburg forum about his “Jewish friends,” Vladimir Putin claimed they told him that Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky is “not a Jew, but a disgrace to the Jewish…

June 19, 2023anti-semitism, Russia

Democracy Geopolitics Governance Intelligence ops

Africa seeing Russian interference in national legislation shape-up

Some African nations are being subjected to external meddling on the system of constitutional order as part of Russia’s colonial policy in countries that were once in the zone of…

June 16, 2023France, Mali, Russia, Wagner Group

Conflict Governance

Insurgency risks increase in Southern Thailand after election

Protests are possible across Thailand through at least late June following a probe into prime minister front runner Pita Limjaroenrat from the opposition Move Forward Party. According to local reports,…

June 14, 2023Thailand

Intelligence ops Psyops

Russian Orthodox Church, Russian intelligence running psyop involving Ukrainian POWs

The Hungarian government's cooperation with the Kremlin may be motivated by Budapest favoring Russia's win in the war on Ukraine. On June 8, 2023, the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) reported…

June 12, 2023Hungary, Orthodox church, Pope Francesco

Democracy Governance

Stable government in Montenegro could be a challenge after the early parliamentary elections

The early parliamentary elections in Montenegro, scheduled to take place on 11 June 2023, will be the twelfth parliamentary elections since the introduction of a multi-party system and the sixth since…

June 8, 2023Montenegro

Democracy Intelligence ops

Sapega-Protasevich operation wrap-up points to errors in assessing opposition potential in Russia and Belarus

The pardon of Sofia Sapega in Belarus with her subsequent handover to the Russian delegation headed by the Primorye Territory governor suggests the completion of the joint special operation by…

June 7, 2023Belarus, GRU, Russia

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