Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Sudan’s struggle for power might weaken the position of the military

The emerging of top military high-rank officials’ rivalry in Sudan is stirring up. Following the October 2021 coup Deputy Head of the Sovereign Council, General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo alias Hemedti, changed his position…

March 13, 2023gold, Sudan, Wagner Group

Democracy Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

China eager for greater say in Western democratic tools

China is likely to step up efforts to have a say in Western political process through media campaigns and election meddling. Beijing has opted for a policy of confrontation toward…

March 10, 2023Canada, China

Terrorism

Tehran likely open for more interaction with Al Qaeda

Iran may have stepped up effort to use Al Qaeda terrorist cells, as this jihadist group changed its leaders. Following the death of Al Qaeda leader Al-Zawahiri, Seif al-Adel, a…

March 8, 2023Al Qaeda, Iran

Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Blow to Russia’s intelligence capabilities in Germany forces Moscow to focus on psyops

The Kremlin's operational capabilities for exerting political influence in Germany have apparently shrunk to the level of the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party. This is indicated by a dramatic…

March 7, 2023AfD, Germany, Russia

Geopolitics National Security

Scholz’s political motives in view of Russia’s war on Ukraine

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s visit to the United States, where he met with President Joe Biden, demonstrated a significant beef-up of Berlin’s international posture over the past year. However, the…

March 3, 2023Germany, Ukraine, USA

Democracy Geopolitics National Security

Military and political risks to the Euro-Atlantic region in the context of Orban’s policies

The policy of the Orban government requires decisions to be made to maintain the effectiveness and unity of NATO, as well as preventing a further split in the integrity of…

March 3, 2023Hungary, NATO, USA

Democracy Governance

Tinubu will face difficult decisions amid winning presidential race

If Tinubu’s result is confirmed, the largest African democracy will have passed one of its most important tests since military rule ended in 1999. His victory come true because of main opposition Peoples…

March 2, 2023Nigeria

Coup Democracy

Assessment of domestic and external risk factors for toppling the government of Chad

The rebels in Chad are likely to brace for destabilizing the government and assassinating the president. The Wall Street Journal, citing a top American official, claims the government of Chad may be overthrown. The…

March 1, 2023Chad, Russia, Wagner Group

Intelligence ops Psyops

Moscow, China stepping up operations in Ireland

A number of pro-Russia anti-war rallies in Europe allowed for identifying a number of political forces that Russia exploits to try to sow splits in Europe and cultivate anti-American moods.…

February 27, 2023China, Ireland, Russia

Governance

Anxiety and uncertainty in Moscow on anniversary of Russia’s full-scale war on Ukraine

The processes that are being observed in the Russian president’s entourage suggest a significant upsurge of anxiety in Russia’s military-political leadership. According to our estimates, this anxiety is due to…

February 24, 2023Putin, Russia

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