Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Sapega-Protasevich operation wrap-up points to errors in assessing opposition potential in Russia and Belarus

The pardon of Sofia Sapega in Belarus with her subsequent handover to the Russian delegation headed by the Primorye Territory governor suggests the completion of the joint special operation by…

June 7, 2023Belarus, GRU, Russia

Democracy Governance

A few signs of optimism for democracy in Guinea-Bissau after parliamentary elections

The highly anticipated June 4, 2023 elections in Guinea Bissau give an opportunity for the country’s threatened democracy to consolidate. These elections underline the interest and wide mobilization of international and regional observers including the…

June 6, 2023Guinea-Bissau

Conflict

Kabul wants Tehran to recognize Taliban’s regime using water dispute

Deadly clashes broke out between Afghan and Iranian guards at their border raising fears of a new conflict. Both sides have accused each other of initiating the shooting in which at…

June 2, 2023Afghanistan, Iran, water

Democracy Governance

Agreement to Reshape Political System pushes Somalia for autocracy with power concentrated in one hand

With weak state institutions dependent on multiple clans interests, and lack of strong checks and balances Somalia will drift towards autocracy with federal and state power concentrated in one hand, following changes proposed by the National Advisory Council of Somalia. The National Consultative Council, which includes the…

May 30, 2023Somalia

Coup Democracy Intelligence ops

Moldova threatened by outside-staged conflict in Gagauzia

The GPA is going to assemble for the planned meeting on May 27, to discuss a demand to the central government in Chisinau for increased autonomy, in a move initiated…

May 26, 2023Moldova, Russia

Democracy Governance Intelligence ops

Constitutional reform in CAR points to expansion of Kremlin’s influence in Africa

President Faustin-Archange Touadera of the Central African Republic is mulling amendments to the country's Constitution that will allow him to run for a third term. In January 2023, the Constitutional…

May 24, 2023CAR, Prigozhin, Wagner Group

Intelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

The GRU failures have posed political threats to the Kremlin

Russian military intelligence has stepped up a cover operation to shift away from the Kremlin any suspicions of masterminding explosions on the Nord Stream gas pipes. The ongoing operation completely repeats…

May 22, 2023GRU, Nord Stream-2

Democracy Governance

The constitutional reform as a reason for optimism about the future of democracy in Tanzania

For Tanzania to realise real and sustainable democracy, a new constitution is necessary. President Samia Suluhu Hassan took over as the country's first-ever women president two years ago, changing the Tanzanian…

May 17, 2023Tanzania

Democracy Governance

Tensions in North Mitrovica are likely to resurface

Although over three weeks have passed since the extraordinary elections were held in the four northern municipalities of Mitrovica, and more than two weeks since the certification of the results…

May 16, 2023North Mitrovica, Serbia

Governance

Rumors of Kenya’s president health likely to roil the country

Kenya’s President William Ruto has to deny rumors of deteriorating health, as outward signs and history ofsuspicion show the prognosis for his health is most likely poor. There is a concern Ruto will have to step down from office this way,…

May 15, 2023Kenya

Posts by Editorial paper

Sapega-Protasevich operation wrap-up points to errors in assessing opposition potential in Russia and Belarus

A few signs of optimism for democracy in Guinea-Bissau after parliamentary elections

Kabul wants Tehran to recognize Taliban’s regime using water dispute

Agreement to Reshape Political System pushes Somalia for autocracy with power concentrated in one hand

Moldova threatened by outside-staged conflict in Gagauzia

Constitutional reform in CAR points to expansion of Kremlin’s influence in Africa

The GRU failures have posed political threats to the Kremlin

The constitutional reform as a reason for optimism about the future of democracy in Tanzania

Tensions in North Mitrovica are likely to resurface

Rumors of Kenya’s president health likely to roil the country

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