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Lukashenko risks losing sovereignty, army, and power
Posted inEstimates Governance

Lukashenko risks losing sovereignty, army, and power

Russia is seeking to get Belarus into the war in Ukraine, with a view to absorb it and deprive of sovereignty. On June 23, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu called for an enhanced joint defense of Russia and Belarus, including a single regional air defense system.…
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June 24, 2022Tags: Belarus, Russia
Mahmoud Abbas’ most likely successor raises legitimacy concerns
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Mahmoud Abbas’ most likely successor raises legitimacy concerns

The nepotistic rise of Hussein al-Sheikh, the PA's key liaison with Israel, is emblematic of much that is wrong with the Palestinian leadership. After a year in power, Israel’s “government…
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June 22, 2022Tags: Palestine
Putin’s mental state requires search for alternative contacts among Russian leaders
Posted inGovernance

Putin’s mental state requires search for alternative contacts among Russian leaders

Lack of any success in contacts between the leaders of the United States and Europe with Russia'sleader regarding the war in Ukraine prioritizes the need to analyze the psychology of decision-making by the President of Russia. Some…
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June 21, 2022Tags: Russia
Maasai under pressure over foreign tourists and corrupt Tanzanian government
Posted inDemocracy ecology

Maasai under pressure over foreign tourists and corrupt Tanzanian government

Tanzanian government is pushed by foreign actors to evict ethnic Maasai that can result in humanitarian crisis and violations of human rights. Tanzania’s government has prepared a land use model…
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June 17, 2022Tags: maasai, Tanzania
Staff reshuffle at Chinese Foreign Ministry: what does it mean?
Posted inGovernance

Staff reshuffle at Chinese Foreign Ministry: what does it mean?

Staff changes in Chinese Foreign Ministry give rise to hope that Beijing will endeavour to mend fences with the West and stop military conflicts in the world. Vice Foreign Minister Le Yucheng, a Foreign Ministry official who publicly defended Russia after the…
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June 16, 2022Tags: China
Posted inMust Read PDF

Graveyard of Republics: An Analysis of Torture in Counterinsurgency, 2021

A thesis presented to the University of Waterloo in fulfillment of the thesis requirement for the degree of Master of Arts I History By James Morgan Howey. Counterinsurgency relies on…
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June 16, 2022
Nicaragua grants its sovereignty to the Kremlin in exchange for the dictatorship support
Posted inGeopolitics

Nicaragua grants its sovereignty to the Kremlin in exchange for the dictatorship support

The Nicaraguan Congress’ authorization for entry of Russian troops, navy ships and aircraft into the country is a trick to put pressure on the United States and provoke the Caribbean-like…
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June 15, 2022Tags: Nicaragua, Russia
Russia is testing NATO air defense system in Central Europe, Baltic region, and the Balkans
Posted inIntelligence ops National Security

Russia is testing NATO air defense system in Central Europe, Baltic region, and the Balkans

After Russia invaded Ukraine, there have been some disturbing aircraft flights over Central and Eastern Europe. Last week in Lithuania a mystery aircraft took off from Lithuania and illegally entered the airspace…
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June 13, 2022Tags: Air-defense, Bulgaria, GRU, Hungary, Lithuania, Romania, Russia
Supreme power transformation in Russia: possible scenarios
Posted inCoup Governance

Supreme power transformation in Russia: possible scenarios

With President Putin expected to resign, his health and mentality unlikely to let him rule the country till the end of 2022, Russia faces an ongoing power game. That’s a…
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June 8, 2022Tags: Russia
Russia with new strategy for destabilization in the Western Balkans
Posted inGeopolitics

Russia with new strategy for destabilization in the Western Balkans

Balkans has a long history with Russian influence. Last three decades, collisions of Russian Foreign Policy and US foreign policy in Balkans mostly have happened in Bosnia and Herzegovina and…
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June 7, 2022Tags: Kosovo, Russia, Serbia

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