Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Angola elections: estimations and scenarios

A close race between incumbent Angolan President Joao Lourenco and opposition leader Adalberto Costa Junior is a likely result of presidential race. Mass rigging could be a trigger for violence in Angola after general elections of August…

August 23, 2022Angola, MPLA, UNITA

Governance ideology Intelligence ops

Russia: battle for power

An attempt to kill Alexander Dugin, one of the key ‘Russian world’ ideologues, ended up with the death of his daughter Darya, as Kremlin’s pressure groups keep fighting to gain…

August 23, 2022FSB, GRU, Russia

Terrorism

Zawahiri’s death raises questions about Al-Qaeda further move and potential threats to Morocco

After death of al-Qaeda chief, Ayman Zawahiri, who was killed in a US drone strike in the Afghan capital Kabul, al-Qaeda scholars suggested that Moroccan Abd al-Rahman al-Maghribi (Mohamed Abaytah) could be potentially a…

August 19, 2022Al Qaeda, Al Shabaab, Iran

Intelligence ops

Moscow sets the stage for intelligence infiltration into OSCE PA

Russia that has actively exploited the OSCE, following Crimea’s annexation and the beginning of Donbas invasion, does not leave attempts to infiltrate this international institution, as it seeks to get…

August 18, 2022Boyarskaya, Montella, OSCE, Russia

Democracy Governance

Kenya could plunge into political and ethnic crisis after elections

A legal challenge would plunge Kenya after elections into a period of political instability. The situation is likely to deteriorate because this election seems to be the last chance for this rally loser…

August 16, 2022Kenya

Intelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation

Amnesty International reports lose credibility and signal of being infiltrated and influenced from outside

The scandal, arisen in early August after publishing the Amnesty International’s report sharing biased and false conclusions about war crimes in Ukraine, actualized the issue of level of trust in…

August 15, 2022Amnesty Iternational, Russia

Estimates Governance

The rise and fall of Abazovic

The inauguration of the head of Serbian Orthodox Church in Montenegro, last year was a trigger for a non-confidence motion initiated by the then Deputy Prime Minister Dritan Abazovic, which…

August 12, 2022Montenegro, Serbia

Democracy Governance

Nicaragua’s repressions as an attractive policy for authoritarian regimes in Latin America

Nicaragua has chosen the path of dictatorship, and relies on the support of Russia and China to be protected against its own citizens, whose patience is wearing thin after years…

August 10, 2022Nicaragua

Intelligence ops

Primrose-Morrison case reveals potential scale of Russian presence in the West

With Russian intelligence networks opened, we may see some deep infiltrated agents in the West, as Russia recruited or illegally dropped them as far back as the Cold War. A…

August 8, 2022Russia, USA

Geopolitics National Security

Russia approaches North Macedonia trying to block the EU integration

Russian attempts to influence the destabilization of the Western Balkans are mainly carried out through countries with political instability, always using Serbian channels. Wherever a gap for maneuvering, Russian agencies…

August 5, 2022North Macedonia, Russia

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