Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Russian military invasion of Ukraine: Assessment of likelihood and possible scenarios

The U.S. has shared intelligence, including maps, with European allies showing a buildup of Russian troops and artillery in what appears to be a preparation for a rapid, large-scale push…

November 24, 2021Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics

Russia and China unite in political effort and flex muscles against the West

Russia is working hand in glove with China to coordinate military efforts in Southeast Asia and in the Far East. Both countries favor steps to meet geopolitical targets and enlarge their…

November 22, 2021China, Russia

Governance

El Salvador follows Nicaragua’s path and slides into authoritarianism

Salvadoran president Nayib Bukele seems to duplicate the policy of Nicaraguan leader Daniel Ortega. In case it continues, an undemocratic axis to be controlled and used by China and Russia…

November 19, 2021Nicaragua, Salvador

Must Read PDF

Eurasianism: Russia’s Pursuit of Transnational Nationalism, 2018

Thesis by Major Seth Horrell, submitted to the faculty of the National Intelligence University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science of Strategic Intelligence. Eurasianism, a…

November 17, 2021Russia

Terrorism

Uganda facing growing IS threat

Terrorist attacks are intensifying in Uganda. The attacks raise questions about the links and tactics of jihadist groups in the region, as they increase their focus on Uganda and pose a wider threat. Uganda is reeling in…

November 17, 2021Uganda

Intelligence ops migration Psyops

Belarus-Poland border: conflict resolution scenarios

The risks are high that Russia and Belarus, as those behind a so-called migrant crisis at Polish border, are planning for an armed false flag op to force their way…

November 15, 2021Belarus, GRU, Russia

Conflict Energy Geopolitics

Risks of war between Algeria and Morocco are low despite aggressive Algeria’s rhetorics.

Tensions between the Algeria and Morocco have been growing, and Algeria's rhetoric points towards an armed conflict. However there are doubts that an escalation is imminent. Both countries don't have any interest in waging a war on…

November 9, 2021Algeria, Front Polisario, Morocco, Western Sahara

Democracy Governance

Democracy ends: Nicaraguan elections are predetermined

November 7 will serve as a bitter reaffirmation of the Nicaraguan Ortega-Murillo regime’s desire to consolidate a dynastic dictatorship, replacing the one they overthrew in the late 1970s. No notable candidates…

November 5, 2021Nicaragua

Intelligence ops migration

Belarus used by Russia for arms trafficking to Europe

Belarus is likely to supply Europe with combat weapon and terrorists. Poland’s Foreign Ministry said it had summoned a Belarusian diplomat over an “intrusion” at the country’s border by uniformed individuals armed with long guns. Stanislaw Zaryn, a spokesman for Poland’s security services, said Polish soldiers…

November 4, 2021Belarus, Poland

Propaganda and Disinformation

Moscow picks its favorite for the 2022 French presidential elections

Russia stepped up its intervention in French domestic politics ahead of the 2022 presidential elections with the aim to influence their results. Erik Zemmour is going to be the Kremlin's…

November 3, 2021France

Posts by Editorial paper