Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Prince Mohammed bin Salman clears away to the throne against King Salman’s death expectation

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's swoop against potential royal challengers shows his concerns about his grip on power. March 6, King Salman's full young brother, Prince Ahmed bin Abdulaziz,…

March 9, 2020Saudi Arabia

Governance Situation Reports

The Ivorian President’s official refusal to run for the third term does not pull him out of the power

Despite the refusal of the President of Côte d'Ivoire Alassane Ouattara to run for elections in October 2020, his intent to hand over power effectively might result in a political crisis…

March 9, 2020Alassane Ouattara, Baule, Béte, Cote d’Ivoire, Dioula

Situation Reports Terrorism

Further Jubbaland-Mogadishu confrontation to threaten fight against al Shabaab

Clashes between the Somali army, commanded by the federal government, and Jubbaland security forces (Daraawiish) loyal to state leader Ahmed Madobe can intensify divisions that help Islamist insurgents and may…

March 6, 2020Al Shabaab, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia

Situation Reports

MH17 court hearings in The Hague: simulation

The simulation of court hearings in the case of the downing of Malaysian Airlines Boeing -777 passenger jet flight MH17 en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur on July 17,…

March 4, 2020MH17, Netherlands, Russia

Estimates Intelligence ops

Working with the diasporas as an expansion and imperialism tool

Russia and Serbia aggressively support their compatriots abroad. Their approach to regulate this issue legislatively is quite similar. It reflects a strongly Orthodox martyrdom narrative. The protection of compatriots worldwide is…

February 28, 2020Russia, Serbia

Governance Situation Reports

Malaysian Prime Minister resignation to step up turbulence in the country: what is going on?

The resignation of Malaysian Prime Minister Mohamad Mahathir will make for tension growth in Malaysia’s domestic politics that could possibly end up with Malay Islamic superiority destroying Malaysia’s multi-ethnic society. This process can be also associated with Mahathir’s attempts to stay in power and…

February 26, 2020Anwar Ibrahim, Malaysia, Mohamad Mahathir

Governance Situation Reports

Togo elections may trigger unrest

The results of Togo elections may trigger unrest in the country. Further developments will depend both on the tactics of the opposition groups, which may resort to violent protest actions,…

February 24, 2020Togo

Conflict Estimates

Republika Srpska’s secession from BiH is impossible technically and pushes the Balkans in a new wave of violence

The technical impossibility of Republika Srpska’s secession from Bosnia and Herzegovina might destabilize the situation in the Balkans that internal and external forces can benefit. Such a scenario may occur…

February 21, 2020Balkans, Bosnia and Herzegovina, EU, NATO, Republica Srpska, Russia, Serbia

Intelligence ops Situation Reports

Russia has got access to MH-17 case investigation files and is trying to influence public opinion on the eve of the court hearing

As the trial date on MH17 case approaches, the activity of pro-Russian disinformation groups is going to increase. But no amount of disinformation can negate the fact that both the Netherlands…

February 20, 2020MH17, Netherlands, Russia, Ukraine

Estimates Intelligence ops

Naval updates threaten underwater comms systems with sabotage attack

Within last 3 years the Russian Navy deep-sea forces has been developed actively and rapidly and their operations significantly increased. Russia’s spy-ship Yantar (project 22010) is a carrier for mini-submarines…

February 19, 2020GRU, GUGI, intelligence, NAVY, Russia

Posts by Editorial paper

Prince Mohammed bin Salman clears away to the throne against King Salman’s death expectation

The Ivorian President’s official refusal to run for the third term does not pull him out of the power

Further Jubbaland-Mogadishu confrontation to threaten fight against al Shabaab

MH17 court hearings in The Hague: simulation

Working with the diasporas as an expansion and imperialism tool

Malaysian Prime Minister resignation to step up turbulence in the country: what is going on?

Togo elections may trigger unrest

Republika Srpska’s secession from BiH is impossible technically and pushes the Balkans in a new wave of violence

Russia has got access to MH-17 case investigation files and is trying to influence public opinion on the eve of the court hearing

Naval updates threaten underwater comms systems with sabotage attack

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