Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Victory Day Under False Colors: The Risk of a Russian False-Flag Attack on May 9

As Victory Day approaches, there is a growing risk that the Kremlin may stage or exploit a terrorist act inside Russia to blame Ukraine and reinforce wartime propaganda. Historically, the…

May 5, 2025Russia, Ukraine

Corruption Democracy Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Hungary’s Balancing Act: Strategic Risks of Budapest’s Covert Ties with Russia

Hungary under Viktor Orbán has become a geopolitical pivot point where Russian oil money, Chinese strategic investments, and American capital intersect. This convergence presents serious risks to both the European…

May 2, 2025China, Hungary, Russia, USA

Economy Geoeconomics

“Critical Ground: The Geopolitics of U.S.-Ukraine Mineral Cooperation Amid War”

The U.S.-Ukraine mineral agreement is not just economic—it is strategic. It aims to reduce American and Western dependency on China and Russia for critical raw materials. Washington sees Ukraine’s mineral wealth…

May 1, 2025Ukraine, USA

Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops Warfare

Victory Day Ceasefire: Putin’s 9th May Gambit and Trump’s Calculated Applause

Putin’s 9th May ceasefire is symbolic, not sincere—it is a propaganda tool aimed at domestic audiences and Western skeptics. Trump’s likely positive reaction serves both leaders’ political goals: Putin…

April 30, 2025Russia, Ukraine

Corruption Geoeconomics Governance

From Liberation to Exploitation: Russia’s Resource Deals in Africa

The recent agreement between the Burkinabé government and the Russian company Nordgold—previously owned by Alexey Mordashov, a sanctioned Russian oligarch with close ties to the Kremlin—signals a deliberate and strategic…

April 29, 2025Burkina Faso, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

China’s Declared Neutrality vs. De Facto Involvement in the Russia-Ukraine War

Despite officially claiming neutrality, China is in practice a key enabler of Russia’s war effort against Ukraine. Through massive exports of critical dual-use materials like nitrocellulose — vital for ammunition…

April 28, 2025China, Russia, Ukraine

Conflict Geopolitics

Evaluating the Risk of Conflict Between Pakistan and India”

While a large-scale conventional war between Pakistan and India remains unlikely due to the nuclear deterrent and international diplomatic pressure, the risk of limited conflict or escalation through proxy engagements,…

April 25, 2025India, Pakistan

Geopolitics Governance National Security

A Dangerous Precedent: The Risks of U.S. Recognition of Russian-Occupied Ukrainian Territories

The U.S. has privately floated the possibility of Ukraine accepting the de facto loss of some of its territories—especially Crimea—as part of a ceasefire or peace proposal with Russia during…

April 23, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Coup Democracy

Warning Signs in Ouagadougou: Assessing the Risk of a Coup in Burkina Faso

Burkina Faso, already reeling from political instability and escalating jihadist violence, is showing early signs of another potential coup. Since 2022, the West African nation has experienced two military takeovers, and…

April 22, 2025Burkina Faso

Geopolitics Governance

A New Pontiff and the Future of Vatican Foreign Policy: Recalibrating Relations with Russia

The potential election of a new Pope always marks a turning point not only for the Roman Catholic Church but also for global diplomacy. The Vatican, as both a spiritual…

April 22, 2025Pope Francesco, Vatican

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