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In Syria Russia destroyed the Assad opposition resource base rather than fought against the IS
Posted inConflict Situation Reports

In Syria Russia destroyed the Assad opposition resource base rather than fought against the IS

Analyzing the Russian military campaign in Syria it can be suggested that the fight against the IS was not Russia’s key target in Syria within 2015-2019. Attacks on the IS…
Read More
January 6, 2020Tags: ISIS, Russia, Syria
Qaani will continue Soleimani style of Al Quds management but more available for negotiations
Posted inConflict Situation Reports

Qaani will continue Soleimani style of Al Quds management but more available for negotiations

Under Qaani’s leadership, there is likely to be greater continuity than change in the Quds Force. But it is doubtful that Qaani, the bureaucrat can emulate Soleimani’s charismatic leadership.  Supreme Leader Ayatollah…
Read More
January 4, 2020Tags: Iran
Turkish contingent’s departure for Libya to force Ankara and Moscow to reconsider the regional cooperation format
Posted inConflict Situation Reports

Turkish contingent’s departure for Libya to force Ankara and Moscow to reconsider the regional cooperation format

Turkey’s involvement in the Libyan military campaign will intensify competition with Russia who supports the Libyan National Army (LNA) of Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar by providing him with weapons and…
Read More
January 3, 2020Tags: Haftar, Libya, Russia, Turkey
US Embassy attack in Baghdad was coordinated with the Iraqi and foreign government
Posted inConflict Situation Reports

US Embassy attack in Baghdad was coordinated with the Iraqi and foreign government

 The attack on the US Embassy in Iraq is indicative of Tehran's hybrid operation involving foreign fighters. On December 31, nearly 10 passenger jets from Iran and several scheduled flights from Beirut…
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January 3, 2020Tags: Hezbollah, Iran, Iraq, Russia, USA
The Kremlin uses the Syrian campaign to reduce terrorist threat in Russia
Posted inConflict Estimates

The Kremlin uses the Syrian campaign to reduce terrorist threat in Russia

Having intention to reduce tensions in the Caucasus and other Muslim highly concentrated regions of Russia, the Russian security services facilitated radical Russian citizens’ departure for areas of terrorist activity.…
Read More
December 30, 2019Tags: DAESH, FSB, Russia, Syria
Turkey mil op in Libya can lean on Tuareg tribal support but threatens relations with partners
Posted inConflict Situation Reports

Turkey mil op in Libya can lean on Tuareg tribal support but threatens relations with partners

Ankara demonstrates interests in overseas campaigns. This is very important sign of Turkish ambition and doninance in the MENA region. Ankara has sought to develop a policy of influence in the…
Read More
December 26, 2019Tags: GNA, Libya, Russia, Tuaregs, Turkey
Sweden and the Baltic countries may receive multi-billion compensation for Russian nuclear waste burial in the Baltic Sea
Posted inEnergy Situation Reports

Sweden and the Baltic countries may receive multi-billion compensation for Russian nuclear waste burial in the Baltic Sea

The bottom of the Baltic Sea may contain nuclear waste burial sites made by the Russian military in the early 1990s. This complements the picture of the dangerous chemical dumping…
Read More
December 23, 2019Tags: chemical weapon, Nord Stream-2, nuclear weapons, Russia, Sweden
Deterioration in Cuba-Venezuela relations can trigger the fall of dictatorship regimes in Latin America
Posted inEstimates Geopolitics

Deterioration in Cuba-Venezuela relations can trigger the fall of dictatorship regimes in Latin America

Cuban military and intelligence personnel help Nicolás Maduro stay in power and survive in social, economic, and humanitarian crisis. At the same time Venezuelan oil continues to provide much needed…
Read More
December 20, 2019Tags: Cuba, Venezuela
Russia lobbies for AfG’s rise to power and uses it for influence activities in Europe
Posted inEstimates Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Russia lobbies for AfG’s rise to power and uses it for influence activities in Europe

Russia has vigorously started to use the agents in Germany from among local right-wing politicians, trying to orchestrate a conflict with Washington again. Russian influence agents in Germany have been…
Read More
December 19, 2019Tags: AfD, Germany, Russia
Russian military intelligence dominates German line of radio traffic with agents
Posted inEstimates Intelligence ops

Russian military intelligence dominates German line of radio traffic with agents

Russian military intelligence has ramped up communications with agents in Germany in 2019. Such activity was observed only in 2011-2012, i.e., on the eve of the 2013 parliamentary elections, an…
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December 16, 2019Tags: agents, Germany, GRU, Russia

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