Armand Chouet at Robert Lansing Institute

Bear Meets Dragon: The Escalating Espionage Rivalry Between Russia and China

Despite their strategic “no limits” partnership, intelligence leaks show deep mistrust between Moscow and Beijing. A recent New York Times–cited report revealed internal Russian warnings that Chinese intelligence is actively targeting…

June 9, 2025China, Russia

Geopolitics National Security

Ukraine’s Path to NATO: Legality, Obstruction, and Strategic Consequences

Ukraine’s aspiration to join NATO has long been a focal point in the Euro-Atlantic security debate. While the 1949 North Atlantic Treaty (Washington Treaty) clearly states that any European country sharing NATO's democratic…

April 24, 2025NATO, Ukraine, USA

Intelligence ops National Security

Russia’s Destabilization Strategy: Allegations of FSB and SVR Involvement in Moldova’s Crisis

There is a high likelihood that Russia has launched an operation to destabilize the situation in Moldova. Earlier, we predicted that Moscow was planning a subversive operation in Gagauzia to…

March 26, 2025Moldova, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics

Ethiopia’s Red Sea Aspirations and Eritrea’s Interference in Tigray Heighten War Risks

Ethiopia's ambition to secure Red Sea access and Eritrea's interference in Ethiopia's internal affairs and a power struggle in Tigray could explode into a wider regional war. More on this story: Estimations:…

March 20, 2025Eritrea, Ethiopia

Governance National Security

The Kremlin’s Deception: Putin’s Alleged Body Double and the Sabotage of Ukraine Peace Talks

There is a high probability that the Kremlin will send a body double of President Putin to the peace negotiations on Ukraine. Information reports and Putin’s statements in the Kursk…

March 14, 2025Russia, USA

Coup Democracy Governance Intelligence ops

Russian Military Intelligence Behind Attempted Coup in Romania: The Shadowy Network Supporting Pro-Russian Candidate Călin Georgescu

Russian military intelligence is being held responsible for attempting to destabilize the situation in Romania by orchestrating mass protests in support of the pro-Russian presidential candidate Călin Georgescu. Riots Erupt…

March 10, 2025GRU, Romania, Russia, Wagner Group

Geoeconomics Governance National Security Opinion

Economic Benefits of Continuing Military Aid to Ukraine

Continuing military, financial, and humanitarian aid to Ukraine is a strategic investment that enhances global stability and safeguards U.S. national interests. Stimulating the U.S. Economy Since February 2022, Congress has…

January 13, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Intelligence ops Terrorism

Russian intelligence is leveraging terrorists from international organizations to destabilize European countries.

The FSB (Federal Security Service) is recruiting assassins from Russian prisons, sending them abroad to participate in operations, including contract killings. For instance, the FSB’s 2nd Service (Service for the…

October 9, 2024FSB, Russia

Intelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation

Russia May Merge SVR and FSB

Discontent is growing within the Kremlin elite towards Sergei Naryshkin, the head of Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). His public statements are increasingly filled with disinformation, which has become apparent…

August 14, 2024FSB, Russia, SVR

Governance

Some Conclusions on Changes in President Putin’s Meeting Protocols

A review of video and photographic materials published following Russian President Vladimir Putin's foreign visits suggests that, at least since early 2024, Russia has abolished the protocol for his biological…

July 11, 2024Putin, Russia

Posts by Armand Chouet