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Posts by Armand Chouet

About Armand Chouet
Robert Lansing Institute Director General, former DRM imagery analyst, Paris-based analyst in intelligence
Ukraine’s Path to NATO: Legality, Obstruction, and Strategic Consequences
Posted inGeopolitics National Security

Ukraine’s Path to NATO: Legality, Obstruction, and Strategic Consequences

Ukraine’s aspiration to join NATO has long been a focal point in the Euro-Atlantic security debate. While the 1949 North Atlantic Treaty (Washington Treaty) clearly states that any European country sharing NATO's democratic…
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April 24, 2025Tags: NATO, Ukraine, USA
Russia’s Destabilization Strategy: Allegations of FSB and SVR Involvement in Moldova’s Crisis
Posted inIntelligence ops National Security

Russia’s Destabilization Strategy: Allegations of FSB and SVR Involvement in Moldova’s Crisis

There is a high likelihood that Russia has launched an operation to destabilize the situation in Moldova. Earlier, we predicted that Moscow was planning a subversive operation in Gagauzia to…
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March 26, 2025Tags: Moldova, Russia
Ethiopia’s Red Sea Aspirations and Eritrea’s Interference in Tigray Heighten War Risks
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

Ethiopia’s Red Sea Aspirations and Eritrea’s Interference in Tigray Heighten War Risks

Ethiopia's ambition to secure Red Sea access and Eritrea's interference in Ethiopia's internal affairs and a power struggle in Tigray could explode into a wider regional war.  More on this story: Estimations:…
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March 20, 2025Tags: Eritrea, Ethiopia
The Kremlin’s Deception: Putin’s Alleged Body Double and the Sabotage of Ukraine Peace Talks
Posted inGovernance National Security

The Kremlin’s Deception: Putin’s Alleged Body Double and the Sabotage of Ukraine Peace Talks

There is a high probability that the Kremlin will send a body double of President Putin to the peace negotiations on Ukraine. Information reports and Putin’s statements in the Kursk…
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March 14, 2025Tags: Russia, USA
Russian Military Intelligence Behind Attempted Coup in Romania: The Shadowy Network Supporting Pro-Russian Candidate Călin Georgescu
Posted inCoup Democracy Governance Intelligence ops

Russian Military Intelligence Behind Attempted Coup in Romania: The Shadowy Network Supporting Pro-Russian Candidate Călin Georgescu

Russian military intelligence is being held responsible for attempting to destabilize the situation in Romania by orchestrating mass protests in support of the pro-Russian presidential candidate Călin Georgescu. Riots Erupt…
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March 10, 2025Tags: GRU, Romania, Russia, Wagner Group
Economic Benefits of Continuing Military Aid to Ukraine
Posted inGeoeconomics Governance National Security Opinion

Economic Benefits of Continuing Military Aid to Ukraine

Continuing military, financial, and humanitarian aid to Ukraine is a strategic investment that enhances global stability and safeguards U.S. national interests. Stimulating the U.S. Economy Since February 2022, Congress has…
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January 13, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA
Russian intelligence is leveraging terrorists from international organizations to destabilize European countries.
Posted inIntelligence ops Terrorism

Russian intelligence is leveraging terrorists from international organizations to destabilize European countries.

The FSB (Federal Security Service) is recruiting assassins from Russian prisons, sending them abroad to participate in operations, including contract killings. For instance, the FSB’s 2nd Service (Service for the…
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October 9, 2024Tags: FSB, Russia
Russia May Merge SVR and FSB
Posted inIntelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation

Russia May Merge SVR and FSB

Discontent is growing within the Kremlin elite towards Sergei Naryshkin, the head of Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). His public statements are increasingly filled with disinformation, which has become apparent…
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August 14, 2024Tags: FSB, Russia, SVR
Some Conclusions on Changes in President Putin’s Meeting Protocols
Posted inGovernance

Some Conclusions on Changes in President Putin’s Meeting Protocols

A review of video and photographic materials published following Russian President Vladimir Putin's foreign visits suggests that, at least since early 2024, Russia has abolished the protocol for his biological…
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July 11, 2024Tags: Putin, Russia
Risk evaluation: GOP candidates may reconsider Joe Biden’s foreign policy choices 
Posted inGovernance Opinion

Risk evaluation: GOP candidates may reconsider Joe Biden’s foreign policy choices 

As leaders of U.S. Democrats and Republicans confront each other in electoral race, there is a danger of making wrong foreign policy decisions, likely to cause U.S. military casualties, while current…
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December 11, 2023Tags: USA

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