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Conflict

Russia-provoked border incident in the Baltics goes to a higher level
Posted inConflict Estimates National Security

Russia-provoked border incident in the Baltics goes to a higher level

By declaring the Baltic Sea and the Narva River as Russia’s internal waters, Moscow isapparently preparing to unilaterally redraw its borders with the Baltic and Scandinaviancountries. There is a high…
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May 31, 2024Tags: Baltic, Estonia, Russia
Tanzania and Malawi are on the brink of a diplomatic standoff
Posted inConflict Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Tanzania and Malawi are on the brink of a diplomatic standoff

Tanzania and Malawi are on the brink of a diplomatic standoff following Dodoma's decision to commence the upgrade of Mbamba Bay Port, situated on the shores of Lake Malawi. Lilongwe…
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April 17, 2024Tags: Malawi, Tanzania
Russia to further encourage Iran-Israel conflict
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

Russia to further encourage Iran-Israel conflict

Iran's attack on Israel reveals a choreographed plan, involving Russia. The Kremlin has two simultaneous goals: first, it is an effort to eliminate the U.S. external support capacity by drawing them into…
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April 15, 2024Tags: GRU, Iran, Israel, Russia
Signs of Russian provocation being prepared in Belarus to drag Minsk into war
Posted inConflict National Security

Signs of Russian provocation being prepared in Belarus to drag Minsk into war

Since February 2022, Russia has suffered heavy military losses while failing to achieve any of its initial goals for the invasion of Ukraine. An attempt to advance on the battlefield…
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April 2, 2024Tags: Belarus, Lukashenko, Russia, USA
Vucic threatens Kosovo, gives an ultimatum to the international community
Posted inConflict

Vucic threatens Kosovo, gives an ultimatum to the international community

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic’s recent threats towards Kosovo, accompanied by an ultimatum to the international community, mark a concerning escalation in tensions within the Western Balkans. Motivated by recent events…
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March 26, 2024Tags: Kosovo, Russia, Serbia
Russia may attack two Ukrainian hydropower facilities 
Posted inConflict ecology War crimes

Russia may attack two Ukrainian hydropower facilities 

As for now, it is more than obvious that the Russian Federation is working on learning more about new water critical infrastructure in Ukraine as potential targets for attacking. It is…
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March 25, 2024Tags: Russia, Ukraine
The turbulent elections in DRC could accelerate Rwanda-Burundi conflict
Posted inConflict

The turbulent elections in DRC could accelerate Rwanda-Burundi conflict

The situation in the Great Lakes region of Africa is one of the major Geopolitical Risks that will continue into 2024. We saw evidence of that on December 23, 2023…
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February 26, 2024Tags: Burundi, DRC, Red Tabara
DR Congo’s Conflict: Rwanda’s motives to support the M23 rebels 
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Terrorism

DR Congo’s Conflict: Rwanda’s motives to support the M23 rebels 

For a long time Kinshasa has accused neighboring Rwanda of supporting the M23 rebels that have been engaged in intense fighting with the Congolese army in eastern DR Congo. The United…
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February 23, 2024Tags: DRC, M23, Rwanda
The Sudanese army is at risks of collapse. 
Posted inConflict Coup Governance

The Sudanese army is at risks of collapse. 

Fattah al-Burhan appeared to be sufficiently weak, compelling him to rely on his fellow Sudan Armed Forces bigwigs to govern. The war, which erupted after relations between the two wings of…
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February 20, 2024Tags: Sudan
Moscow pushing European far-right to rethink borders as part of historical discourse
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

Moscow pushing European far-right to rethink borders as part of historical discourse

Russian aggression against Ukraine pushed some in Europe to consider revising state borders and putting forward territorial claims as part of historical reflections. Such trends are a consequence of Russian…
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January 31, 2024Tags: Hungary, Romania, Russia, Ukraine

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