Estimates Archives - Page 6 of 6 - Robert Lansing Institute

Russian military intelligence dominates German line of radio traffic with agents

Russian military intelligence has ramped up communications with agents in Germany in 2019. Such activity was observed only in 2011-2012, i.e., on the eve of the 2013 parliamentary elections, an…

December 16, 2019agents, Germany, GRU, Russia

Estimates Geoeconomics

Impact of military conflicts on capital flows, GDP, debts, currency, consumer and trade indicators

The deterioration of macroeconomic indicators in Ukraine after 2014 has raised a debate about the actual level of military conflict’s impact on the economy of the state. Despite numerous studies…

December 10, 2019economy, war

Estimates Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Who is managing online trolls in EU, Africa and Latin America?

Information and psychological operations analysis in Latin America and Africa indicates the presence of an extensive network operating in the RF military intelligence’s interests under the operational control of the…

December 2, 201974455, AGMR, DPRK, Eugene Prigogine, FPNV, GRU, Ionov, Malkevich, Russia, Spain, Sudan, USA, Veneuela

Estimates Terrorism

Gold as a resource base for jihadists in the Sahel

The process of rebuilding ISIS in Sahel region depends on gaining the source base in the region for its ops. There are signs that gold sites in the Sahel can…

November 26, 2019Burkina Faso, DAESH, gold, ISIS, Niger, Sahel

Drug trafficking Estimates

Afghan heroin trafficking and control

May 27, 1986, in the Dutch port of Rotterdam, the Soviet cargo ship Kapitan Tomson, coming from Soviet Baltic port of Riga, steered for its berth at the Unitcenter dock in the…

November 25, 2019Afghanistan, heroin, Russia, Taliban

Estimates

Russia is staking on the Hezbollah

Leader of the Lebanese Democratic Movement, Jacques Tamer, stated the need to significantly weaken the influence of the United States and Israel, that have deeply penetrated Lebanese politics with the…

November 22, 2019Hezbollah, Iran, Israel, Russia, Syria, weaponizing

Estimates Terrorism

Russia’s weaponization of the Taliban

Russia’s support to the Taliban represents a serious problem that could jeopardise years of progress towards a peaceful resolution of the conflict. The Taliban, counting on the assistance of a…

November 8, 2019Afghanistan, ISIS, Russia, Taliban

Energy Estimates

Nord Stream 2 construction threatens the ecology security of the North Europe

Nord Stream 2 construction requires measures to counter mutation threats in the Baltic Sea. The start of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline construction before clearing the Baltic Sea seabed…

November 1, 2019Baltic, chemical weapon, ecology, Nord Stream-2, pipeline, Russia

Estimates Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Russia’a Attempts to Influence on MH17 JIT Investigation Results

The Russian Federation has set up a network of organizations and agents of influence in Europe to discredit the findings of the Joint Investigation Team (JIT) on MH-17 Boeing Malaysian…

October 12, 2019MH17, Netherlands, Russia, social media