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Governance

The 2024 Iran election: key problems and possible scenarios to develop
Posted inGovernance

The 2024 Iran election: key problems and possible scenarios to develop

Upcoming votes in spring 2024 in Iran pose a dilemma for Ali Khamenei: should he disqualify candidates aggressively and continue alienating the public? Or, risk a Majlis dominated by his…
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September 4, 2023Tags: Iran
Russia facing changes following Prigozhin’s plane crash
Posted inGovernance Intelligence ops

Russia facing changes following Prigozhin’s plane crash

The likely liquidation of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin will likely lead to tectonic shifts in Russia’s political system. On August 23, a business jet belonging to Mr Prigozhin was…
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August 24, 2023Tags: Prigozhin, Russia, Wagner Group
The 2023 Liberian presidential elections: violence risks runs high while no candidate is ready to lose
Posted inDemocracy Governance

The 2023 Liberian presidential elections: violence risks runs high while no candidate is ready to lose

Whoever wins election in Liberia, the loser or losers might not readily accept defeat that rises a bid of violence. In most African presidential elections, the losing candidate cries fault, justly…
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August 16, 2023Tags: Liberia
Pakistani ISI strengthens political influence in the country by lobbying for the legislation amendments 
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Pakistani ISI strengthens political influence in the country by lobbying for the legislation amendments 

The National Assembly (Parliament) of Pakistan green-lighted the intelligence law proposed by the government. The legislative initiative grants wider powers to the country's top intelligence agencies and provides for a three-year prison term for anyone guilty of…
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August 9, 2023Tags: ISI, Pakistan
How dynamically the influence of Putin’s close circle changes
Posted inGovernance

How dynamically the influence of Putin’s close circle changes

In between 2021 and July 2023, Russia's governance system has experienced serious changes, mainly caused by events that have weakened the leadership position of President Vladimir Putin and hurt reputation…
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July 31, 2023Tags: Russia
South Africa summit shows Russia’s president-level diplomacy problems
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

South Africa summit shows Russia’s president-level diplomacy problems

Preparations for the BRICS Summit demonstrate Russia’s vulnerable position and limited powers of the Russian President following the arrest warrant issued by the International Criminal Court (ICC). Russia's President Vladimir Putin will not be attending the BRICS Summit in Johannesburg…
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July 21, 2023Tags: BRICS, Russia, South Africa
Prigozhin’s rebellion in Russia: national political consequences analysis 
Posted inGovernance National Security

Prigozhin’s rebellion in Russia: national political consequences analysis 

Yevgeny Prigozhin's rebellion in Russia led to strengthening of the influence and powers of the FSB group, controlled by Nikolai Patrushev, the Secretary of the Russian Federation Security Council. This group is…
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July 14, 2023Tags: Patrushev, Prigozhin, Putin, Russia
El Salvador risks to move towards a more authoritarian future
Posted inDemocracy Governance Propaganda and Disinformation

El Salvador risks to move towards a more authoritarian future

Salvadoran President's intention to run for president again in 2024 erodes democratic state institutions. It is highly likely that he could become a dictator if he is re-elected. El Salvador’s President Nayib…
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July 12, 2023Tags: Nayib Bukele, Salvador
Zimbabwe’s escalation risks ahead of elections linked with Mnangagwa regime’s shady deals
Posted inCorruption Governance

Zimbabwe’s escalation risks ahead of elections linked with Mnangagwa regime’s shady deals

Zimbabwe could be hit by a wave of violence ahead of the presidential and parliamentary elections scheduled for August 23, 2023. The upcoming round of destabilization may be related to…
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July 7, 2023Tags: Belarus, gold, lithium, platinum, Russia, Wagner Group, Zimbabwe
Guatemala court intervenes in presidential race and poses  grave threat to democracy with far-reaching implications
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Guatemala court intervenes in presidential race and poses  grave threat to democracy with far-reaching implications

One of the most turbulent elections in Guatemala’s modern history is questioning democracy in this country. The Constitutional Court has intervened in the election system. Court’s decisions have undermined some voters’…
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July 5, 2023Tags: Guatemala

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