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Governance

Sudan’s struggle for power might weaken the position of the military
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Sudan’s struggle for power might weaken the position of the military

The emerging of top military high-rank officials’ rivalry in Sudan is stirring up. Following the October 2021 coup Deputy Head of the Sovereign Council, General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo alias Hemedti, changed his position…
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March 13, 2023Tags: gold, Sudan, Wagner Group
Tinubu will face difficult decisions amid winning presidential race
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Tinubu will face difficult decisions amid winning presidential race

If Tinubu’s result is confirmed, the largest African democracy will have passed one of its most important tests since military rule ended in 1999. His victory come true because of main opposition Peoples…
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March 2, 2023Tags: Nigeria
Anxiety and uncertainty in Moscow on anniversary of Russia’s full-scale war on Ukraine
Posted inGovernance

Anxiety and uncertainty in Moscow on anniversary of Russia’s full-scale war on Ukraine

The processes that are being observed in the Russian president’s entourage suggest a significant upsurge of anxiety in Russia’s military-political leadership. According to our estimates, this anxiety is due to…
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February 24, 2023Tags: Putin, Russia
Early elections in Serbia, political charade to avoid the EU plan for normalization agreement between Kosova and Serbia
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Early elections in Serbia, political charade to avoid the EU plan for normalization agreement between Kosova and Serbia

The possibility of a deterioration in relations between two parties that make up Serbia's ruling coalition—the Progressive Party of Serbia, which is led by the country's president, Aleksandar Vucic, and…
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February 13, 2023Tags: Kosovo, Serbia
Rising insecurity in Somalia increases terrorist risks in the region
Posted inGovernance Terrorism

Rising insecurity in Somalia increases terrorist risks in the region

The dispute over Sool and Sanaag in Somalia provides a potential risk of violent extremist organisation infiltration or utilisation of the area. The longer and more divisive a dispute between Somaliland and…
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February 9, 2023Tags: Puntland, Somalia, Somaliland
Cameroon could face new atrocity crimes after deploying government forces to counter armed separatists
Posted inConflict Governance

Cameroon could face new atrocity crimes after deploying government forces to counter armed separatists

What began as a political dispute in the Anglophone regions is now a complex armed conflict and a major humanitarian crisis that disproportionately affects the civilian population, particularly women and…
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January 20, 2023Tags: Cameroon, Nigeria
Scenarios: Mnangagwa likely to save presidency amid risks of violence in Zimbabwe after elections
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Scenarios: Mnangagwa likely to save presidency amid risks of violence in Zimbabwe after elections

Zimbabwe’s 2023 Elections are highly likely to be followed by bloodbath, with government party pressing on opposition and ZANU-PF stepping aside from democracy standards.  The President Emmerson Mnangagwa will likely win Zimbabwe’s 2023…
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January 17, 2023Tags: Zimbabwe
Russia on track to becoming military junta
Posted inGovernance

Russia on track to becoming military junta

Following sharply enhanced political powers for Defense Minister Shoigu and his entourage in March 2022 , as the military invasion of Ukraine started, things have changed dramatically by the end…
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January 10, 2023Tags: Prigozhin, Russia, Wagner Group
A coup attempt in Gambia as a mirror of battle for power
Posted inCoup Governance

A coup attempt in Gambia as a mirror of battle for power

Barrow’s desire to cement his presidency and former President Jammeh’s ambitions to go back to politics undermine political stability in Gambia amid weak security reforms. Gambian armed forces have made…
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December 23, 2022Tags: Gambia
Tunisian elections reveal the death of state democracy and heighten the risk of violence
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Tunisian elections reveal the death of state democracy and heighten the risk of violence

The election in Tunisia is seen as a sham by most of the country. With nothing done to defuse the tension, President Kais Saeid’s authoritarian regime is likely to fall. …
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December 21, 2022Tags: Tunisia

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