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Robert Lansing Institute
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Governance

Bolivia’s Presidential Runoff (Oct. 19, 2025): Stakes, Scenarios, and Signals
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Bolivia’s Presidential Runoff (Oct. 19, 2025): Stakes, Scenarios, and Signals

Bolivia heads to its first-ever presidential runoff on October 19, 2025, after an upset first round ended two decades of MAS dominance. The match-up pits centrist senator Rodrigo Paz Pereira (≈32%) against conservative ex-president…
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September 29, 2025Tags: Bolivia
Russian-Backed Election Destabilization in Moldova – Intelligence Brief
Posted inDemocracy Governance Intelligence ops

Russian-Backed Election Destabilization in Moldova – Intelligence Brief

Parliamentary elections in Moldova are expected to be accompanied by a very high level of violence orchestrated by Russian intelligence, using mercenaries trained in Serbia. In light of this, we…
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September 27, 2025Tags: Moldova, Russia, Serbia
Removal of Presidential Term Limits in Chad: Who Benefits—and What Comes Next
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Removal of Presidential Term Limits in Chad: Who Benefits—and What Comes Next

After winning a disputed presidential election in May 2024 and consolidating a parliamentary majority, the presidency holds the legislative votes and coercive capacity to rewrite constitutional guardrails. Removing term limits…
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September 25, 2025Tags: Chad
The Kiriyenko Blueprint: Turning Moldova’s Election into an Operation
Posted inDemocracy Governance Intelligence ops National Security

The Kiriyenko Blueprint: Turning Moldova’s Election into an Operation

Elections on Sept. 28 will set Moldova’s course: a pro-European future or a return to Russia’s orbit. For years, Moscow has sought to bring Moldova to heel—through the buying of politicians,…
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September 25, 2025
Guinea Votes on a Controversial New Constitution — What’s at Stake
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Guinea Votes on a Controversial New Constitution — What’s at Stake

uinea’s September 21, 2025 constitutional referendum is the pivotal moment of the country’s post-coup “transition.” The draft charter would lengthen presidential terms, create a Senate with seats the president can…
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September 22, 2025Tags: Guinea
Kozak’s Deals vs. Kiriyenko’s Political Tech
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Kozak’s Deals vs. Kiriyenko’s Political Tech

On September 18, 2025, Vladimir Putin signed a decree relieving Dmitry Kozak of his duties as Deputy Chief of Staffof the Presidential Administration. The Kremlin says he resigned “at his own request,” and Russian…
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September 19, 2025Tags: Kiriyenko, Kozak, Russia
GRU, SVR, and the Georgescu–Potra plot to destabilize Romania
Posted inCoup Governance

GRU, SVR, and the Georgescu–Potra plot to destabilize Romania

Romanian prosecutors have sent former presidential candidate Călin Georgescu to trial for attempted coup / actions against constitutional order, alongside ex–French Foreign Legionnaire Horațiu Potra and 21 others. The case sits inside a broader picture…
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September 18, 2025Tags: Romania, Russia
Russia’s Hybrid Playbook in France: Extremist Convergence and Information Warfare
Posted inGovernance Intelligence ops National Security

Russia’s Hybrid Playbook in France: Extremist Convergence and Information Warfare

Russia is destabilizing French society, turning it against the government and seeking the overthrow of President Emmanuel Macron. This objective is driven by France’s role in Europe and Africa, where…
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September 15, 2025Tags: France
Russian Hybrid Operations and the Threat of Extremist Convergence in Germany
Posted inGovernance Intelligence ops

Russian Hybrid Operations and the Threat of Extremist Convergence in Germany

Russia appears to be returning to active subversive operations in Germany after a period of concentrating on influence campaigns and psychological operations. We are convinced that the Kremlin is seriously…
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September 12, 2025Tags: AfD, Germany, Russia
Building a Fifth Column: Russia’s Shift in Moldova’s Political Landscape”
Posted inGeopolitics Governance Intelligence ops

Building a Fifth Column: Russia’s Shift in Moldova’s Political Landscape”

Our earlier assessments are confirmed: the principal decision-making center and coordinator of Russian state bodies and private individuals involved in interfering in Moldova’s parliamentary elections is the Presidential Administration of the…
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September 7, 2025Tags: Kiriyenko, Moldova, Russia

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