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Terrorism

MH17 case: path to designating Russia as state sponsor of terrorism
Posted inEstimates Terrorism

MH17 case: path to designating Russia as state sponsor of terrorism

Continued hearings in the case of the downing of Malaysian Airlines passesnger jet flight MH17 over Donbas in July 2014 brings higher risks for Russia's top leadership. In fact, the…
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March 23, 2020Tags: MH17, Netherlands, Russia
Kenyan-Somali territorial argument to strengthen Al Shabaab’s hand and offer a chance to Ethiopia
Posted inSituation Reports Terrorism

Kenyan-Somali territorial argument to strengthen Al Shabaab’s hand and offer a chance to Ethiopia

Kenya seeks to engage Ethiopia in resolving the issue of a common border with Somalia hoping to use Addis Ababa’s leverage on the President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo of Somalia. However, there…
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March 13, 2020Tags: Kenya, Somalia
Further Jubbaland-Mogadishu confrontation to threaten fight against al Shabaab
Posted inSituation Reports Terrorism

Further Jubbaland-Mogadishu confrontation to threaten fight against al Shabaab

Clashes between the Somali army, commanded by the federal government, and Jubbaland security forces (Daraawiish) loyal to state leader Ahmed Madobe can intensify divisions that help Islamist insurgents and may…
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March 6, 2020Tags: Al Shabaab, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia
Malian authorities set a dangerous precedent of making terrorists legitimized
Posted inSituation Reports Terrorism

Malian authorities set a dangerous precedent of making terrorists legitimized

Malian authorities set a dangerous precedent on holding talks with terrorist organizations. Thus, at least at the continental and sub-Saharan levels, Bamako legitimizes jihadists that eventually might turn terrorist groups’…
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February 13, 2020Tags: Al Qaeda, ISIS, Mali
Any deal the US makes with the Taliban is likely to empower the latter
Posted inSituation Reports Terrorism

Any deal the US makes with the Taliban is likely to empower the latter

When the United States started the negotiations with the Taliban, the scale of hostilities decreased, but later the Taliban resumed participation in attacks. It was in the second half of 2019…
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February 6, 2020Tags: Afghanistan, Pakistan, Taliban, USA
Russia contributes to the far-left forces, drug cartels and Islamists merger in Latin America
Posted inDrug trafficking Estimates Terrorism

Russia contributes to the far-left forces, drug cartels and Islamists merger in Latin America

Cooperating closely with Iran and China Russia fully fell back into the Soviet Union pattern in performing its policy in Latin America. The Kremlin builds anti-American ideas in the region…
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January 27, 2020Tags: ALBA, Cuba, Hezbollah, Latin America, Nicaragua, Russia
Gold as a resource base for jihadists in the Sahel
Posted inEstimates Terrorism

Gold as a resource base for jihadists in the Sahel

The process of rebuilding ISIS in Sahel region depends on gaining the source base in the region for its ops. There are signs that gold sites in the Sahel can…
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November 26, 2019Tags: Burkina Faso, DAESH, gold, ISIS, Niger, Sahel
Russia’s weaponization of the Taliban
Posted inEstimates Terrorism

Russia’s weaponization of the Taliban

Russia’s support to the Taliban represents a serious problem that could jeopardise years of progress towards a peaceful resolution of the conflict. The Taliban, counting on the assistance of a…
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November 8, 2019Tags: Afghanistan, ISIS, Russia, Taliban

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