Russia will exploit Crocus mass shooting for large-scale psyop
Russia intends to use the terrorist attack at Crocus City Hall to launch a psyop and a disinformation campaign targeting Ukraine and the United States. On March 22, the Crocus…
Posted inTerrorism
Afghanistan’s security landscape altered under the Taliban
The Al-Qaeda appears to be reorganising in Afghanistan with the support of the Taliban. The country’s internal security situation has drastically deteriorated since the founding of the Islamic Emirate. The Taliban…
Posted inIntelligence ops
Russia provides funding for the Taliban in Afghanistan
Moscow is likely to keep on funding the Taliban regime in Afghanistan, via military intelligence, as reviews of the data on Russian plane crash in the mountains in Afghanistan indicate.…
Posted inConflict
Kabul wants Tehran to recognize Taliban’s regime using water dispute
Deadly clashes broke out between Afghan and Iranian guards at their border raising fears of a new conflict. Both sides have accused each other of initiating the shooting in which at…
Posted inEstimates National Security
Errors in intelligence assessment: Afghanistan and Ukraine
Conservative intelligence assessment with a focus on quantity markers, that excludes ethnic and mental background of the people in war zones, explains why the intelligence agencies miscalculated while evaluating and forecasting developments in Afghanistan and Ukraine. U.S. intelligence agencies are through a large-scale internal review…
Posted inMust Read PDF
Northern Afghanistan and the New Threat to Central Asia, 2022
This paper was published by the Foreign Policy Research Institute. The contest for control of northern Afghanistan between the Taliban, the Islamic State, and other terrorist groups is a major…
Posted inDemocracy Geoeconomics
Turkmen women’s right restrictions signal about Ashgabat-Taliban cooperation
The Turkmen president change and the further women's right restrictions show clearly that Ashgabat plans to cooperate deeply with the Taliban regime in Afghanistan. Since Serdar Berdymukhammedov succeeded his father…
Posted inTerrorism
ISIS and Al-Qaeda breakthrough into Central Asia: threat to increase sharply this spring
Sources close to military intelligence in one of the Central Asian nations indicate that Central Asia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan in particular, is about to be destabilized in the next 1-1.5…
Posted inGeopolitics
Why Kosovo should not be compared to Afghanistan?
After US troops withdrew from Afghanistan and the Taliban came to power by force, hopes of many chauvinists in Belgrade were revived that the same scenario is expected to happen…