Armenia Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Coup Attempt in Armenia — Kremlin Shadows, Domestic Fractures, and Future Risks for Pashinyan

Executive Summary The recent coup attempt in Armenia marks the most serious threat to Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s authority since the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war. This event reveals a volatile intersection…

June 25, 2025Armenia, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics

Russia Unwilling to Defend Iran’s Interests Despite Strategic Use

In the South Caucasus, a clash of interests involving Iran, Turkey, and Azerbaijan continues, with Russia aligning itself with Ankara and Baku at the expense of Tehran’s goals. Turkey and…

September 6, 2024Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Russia, Turkiye

Governance

Armenia Expands Powers of Foreign Intelligence Service to Counteract Russian Subversive Activities

Armenia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (FIS) is expanding its authority, potentially undermining the position of the National Security Service (NSS). A new draft law introduced by the FIS proposes granting the…

August 29, 2024Armenia

Coup Intelligence ops

Russia will compensate for damage from inaction in Karabakh by toppling Pashinyan in Armenia within next three days

The developments in Karabakh will lead to the overthrow of the Pashinyan government in Armenia and the establishment of a pro-Moscow regime in Armenia. According to our data, Russia was…

September 22, 2023Armenia, China, Georgia, Karabakh, Kazakhstan, Russia

Conflict

Efforts to de-escalate through dialog have failed due to Yerevan’s denial of responsibility

Baku has been preparing for a counterterrorism operation for several weeks in response to Armenia's persistent use of various types of weapons to attack borders, shelling local security forces and…

September 19, 2023Armenia, Azerbaijan, Karabakh, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics Peacekeeping

Will Iran’s and Russia’s Meddling Start Another War in the South Caucasus?

Amidst recent flurry of diplomatic activity between Azerbaijan and Armenia, the specter of globalization of conflicts arises. No sooner have the foreign ministers dispatched to Washington from Baku and Yerevan…

May 4, 2023Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Karabakh, Turkiye

Conflict Geopolitics Peacekeeping

The least alternative on the horizon to distance Yerevan from Russia

Russia's ongoing influence and reputation losses and dominance of Moscow own interests over partnerships provoke increasing anti-Russian sentiment in a number of countries, in particular, Armenia. The Kremlin has been…

January 12, 2023Armenia, Russia, Turkiye

Conflict Geopolitics

CSTO turns incapable, Russia loses leadership in the post-Soviet space

The Collective Security Treaty Organization’s (CSTO) refusal to send ‘peacekeepers’ to Armenia against the background of the conflict escalation with Azerbaijan will inevitably lead to the organization collapse. Russia's military invasion of…

September 19, 2022Armenia, Azerbaijan, China, Russia, Turkey, Türkiye

Governance

Eventual scenarios to topple Pashinyan in Armenia

Though Armenia is a members of common security organization by the Kremlin in the post-Soviet area, Yerevan was never backed by Russia in the last war in Karabakh. Armenia was…

November 26, 2020Armenia

Conflict

To recognize independence of Karabakh as a way to work on NATO and a test case to alter boundaries

Nagorno Karabakh peace deal opened the way for Russia to have boots on the ground in the South Caucasus by deploying peacekeepers. It practically echoed the 1992 scenario when puppet…

November 24, 2020Armenia, France, Karabakh, Russia, separatism

Armenia