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Belarus

Lukashenko’s inauguration: run-up to Anschluss
Posted inGeopolitics

Lukashenko’s inauguration: run-up to Anschluss

Lukashenko’s inauguration was a significant symbolic act of selling yet more components of Belarusian sovereignty out to Russia. Having “re-elected” Lukashenko, Belarus practically lost a part of its international identity.…
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September 24, 2020Tags: Belarus, Lukashenko
Bogus Belorussian SIGINT records to support Lukashenko regime
Posted inIntelligence ops

Bogus Belorussian SIGINT records to support Lukashenko regime

President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko has launched a disinformation campaign in Europe on the poisoning of Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny. During the meeting with Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin,…
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September 7, 2020Tags: Belarus, Lukashenko
Amidst Belarus protests Russia to increase its influence on Lukashenko
Posted inGeopolitics

Amidst Belarus protests Russia to increase its influence on Lukashenko

The situation development in Belarus following the presidential elections makes a scenario of the Kremlin's growing influence on official Minsk quite real. Since the mid-2000s the federal media have called…
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August 25, 2020Tags: Belarus, Lukashenko, Russia
Scenarios unfolding in Belarus and challenges for developing democracy there
Posted inGovernance

Scenarios unfolding in Belarus and challenges for developing democracy there

Having assessed possible scenarios for developments in Belarus, we assume that Russia would come back as the main beneficiary under any of them. Possibility for Russia to unfold a military…
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August 18, 2020Tags: Belarus
Pro-Russian opposition may win election in Belarus
Posted inGovernance

Pro-Russian opposition may win election in Belarus

The upcoming election in Belarus will not bring about the democratic governance for this country. The reason for that is the absence of independent opposition leaders. Most of  potential opposition…
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August 7, 2020Tags: Belarus
Russia gearing up for meddling in elections in Belarus
Posted inIntelligence ops

Russia gearing up for meddling in elections in Belarus

Detention of Russia’s Wagner Group mercenaries in Minsk might speak for the Kremlin's plans to roil in Belarus. This scenario suggests a bloody massacre of the local opposition amid riots…
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July 30, 2020Tags: Belarus, Wagner Group
Belarus gets in political headwinds
Posted inGovernance

Belarus gets in political headwinds

On August 9, Belarus will hold presidential elections where the acting president Alexander Lukashenko will face serious problems ever before. Thus, 2020 will start a new era for the Republic…
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June 15, 2020Tags: Belarus, Lukashenko
EAEU countries rail against the Kremlin’s initiatives
Posted inGeopolitics

EAEU countries rail against the Kremlin’s initiatives

In the framework of negotiations held as a video-conference on May, 19, leaders of the Eurasian Economic Union countries were tasked to adopt a draft for the Eurasian Development Integration…
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May 25, 2020Tags: Armenia, Belarus, Eurasian Economic Union
Russia tricks with Lukashenko on the Union State creation
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports

Russia tricks with Lukashenko on the Union State creation

By reviving the issue of the practical creation of the Union State of Russia and Belarus with common authorities, a single currency and economic space the Kremlin tries to trick…
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December 4, 2019Tags: Belarus, Lukashenko, Russia, Union State

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