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Robert Lansing Institute
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Guinea-Bissau

A Narco-State in Flux: Why the 2025 Guinea-Bissau Coup Creates Space for Russian Influence
Posted inCoup Democracy Drug trafficking

A Narco-State in Flux: Why the 2025 Guinea-Bissau Coup Creates Space for Russian Influence

26–27 November 2025, the army ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and installed Gen. Horta N’Ta Na Man as transitional leader.   Guinea-Bissau is a small, chronically unstable state where three fault lines overlap:…
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November 27, 2025Tags: Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau’s November Elections: Actors, Trends, Risks, Scenarios, Foreign Influence, Consequences
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Guinea-Bissau’s November Elections: Actors, Trends, Risks, Scenarios, Foreign Influence, Consequences

Guinea-Bissau heads to simultaneous presidential and legislative elections on 23 November 2025 (with a possible second presidential round on 30 November) under highly contentious conditions: the opposition’s main force (PAIGC/Pai Terra Ranka)…
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November 10, 2025Tags: Guinea-Bissau
The Coup attempt undermines democracy in Guinea-Bissau and increases vulnerability of the state
Posted inCoup Governance

The Coup attempt undermines democracy in Guinea-Bissau and increases vulnerability of the state

Tensions between the President and the parliament majority of Guinea-Bissau provoked the coup attempt and jeopardized democracy and stability after dissolving legislative body by the head of the state. Guinea-Bissau's…
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December 6, 2023Tags: Guinea-Bissau
A few signs of optimism for democracy in Guinea-Bissau after parliamentary elections
Posted inDemocracy Governance

A few signs of optimism for democracy in Guinea-Bissau after parliamentary elections

The highly anticipated June 4, 2023 elections in Guinea Bissau give an opportunity for the country’s threatened democracy to consolidate. These elections underline the interest and wide mobilization of international and regional observers including the…
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June 6, 2023Tags: Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau’s foiled coup: linked to drug or against French-friendly President
Posted inCoup Drug trafficking

Guinea-Bissau’s foiled coup: linked to drug or against French-friendly President

According to various accounts, gunmen entered the government palace complex – which houses the various ministries on the outskirts of Bissau, the capital, near the airport – in the early…
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February 4, 2022Tags: Guinea-Bissau

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