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Robert Lansing Institute
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Libya

Death of Saif al-Islam Gaddafi: Likely Perpetrators, Political Logic, and Tribal Consequences
Posted inConflict Governance Terrorism

Death of Saif al-Islam Gaddafi: Likely Perpetrators, Political Logic, and Tribal Consequences

Most plausible motive cluster: spoiler prevention (removing a rallying figure for a “third force” / pro-Gaddafi current) + settling long-standing scores tied to 2011–2017 detention networks and post-2011 militia politics in western Libya.  High-risk…
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February 4, 2026Tags: Libya
Did Moscow Benefit From Al-Haddad’s Death? Motive Without Proof”
Posted inGeopolitics Intelligence ops

Did Moscow Benefit From Al-Haddad’s Death? Motive Without Proof”

On 23 December 2025, a Dassault Falcon 50 private jet took off from Ankara Esenboğa Airport bound for Tripoli with Libya’s army chief of staff, Lt. Gen. Mohammed Ali Ahmed al-Haddad, and several senior officers on…
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December 29, 2025Tags: Libya, Russia, Turkiye
Increased Libya → Belarus Flights: Analysis of Causes, Actors, Timing, and Risks
Posted inIntelligence ops migration National Security Psyops

Increased Libya → Belarus Flights: Analysis of Causes, Actors, Timing, and Risks

Since early–mid 2025 authorities and analysts have flagged an unexpected rise in air traffic linking eastern Libya (notably Benghazi) and Minsk. European institutions are alarmed because the pattern resembles earlier…
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August 12, 2025Tags: Belarus, Libya, Russia
Libyan elections: red flags and precedents
Posted inDemocracy Geopolitics

Libyan elections: red flags and precedents

Despite facing two counts of crimes against humanity, murder and persecution at the International Criminal Court (ICC), allegedly committed in 2011 in Libya, Saif al-Islam Gaddafi, the fugitive son of the late…
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December 8, 2021Tags: Libya
War crimes by Russians in Libya, Syria and the Central African Republic: a reason to enlist Russian mercenaries as terrorist groups
Posted inWar crimes

War crimes by Russians in Libya, Syria and the Central African Republic: a reason to enlist Russian mercenaries as terrorist groups

The US and EU should agree and  follow a united approach to suppress the so-called Russian private military companies involved in war crimes with cynical abuses of humanitarian law and human…
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October 7, 2021Tags: Libya, Wagner Group
Posted inMust Read PDF War crimes Warfare

Potential risks and impact of the recruitment, use, financing and training of mercenaries, 2020

This report by the International Organization for the Least Developed Countries on the recruitment, use, financing, and training of foreign mercenaries focuses on the emerging pattern of a systematic transfers…
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January 4, 2021Tags: Libya, mercenaries
Posted in-

The Tribal Structure in Libya: Factor for fragmentation or cohesion?

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August 25, 2020Tags: Libya, tribalism
Estimates of possible Egypt’s participation in Libyan campaign
Posted inConflict

Estimates of possible Egypt’s participation in Libyan campaign

Plans to invade Libya by Egypt could have been pursued by Abdel Fattah el-Sissi government since the summer of 2016. Meanwhile, Moscow not just held information about such invasion prepared,…
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July 23, 2020Tags: Egypt, Libya, Turkey
Libya: Tribalism in the Qadhafi Regime, 1987
Posted inGovernance Must Read PDF

Libya: Tribalism in the Qadhafi Regime, 1987

This is must-read sanitized intelligence analysis by CIA that was written in November, 1987 about tribalism in the Qadhafi regime. We think that this paper is very important to understand…
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July 20, 2020Tags: Libya, tribalism
State Supported Terrorism by Iran, Syria and Libya, 1985
Posted inMust Read PDF Terrorism

State Supported Terrorism by Iran, Syria and Libya, 1985

lansinginstitute.org want to recommend for reading the CIA declassified paper, 31, January 1985 “State Supported Terrorism by Iran, Syria and Libya. We believe that it will help to draw a…
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July 16, 2020Tags: Iran, Libya, Syria, terrorism

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