NATO Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

The Suwałki Corridor Crisis: An Analysis of a Possible Russian Offensive and NATO Response Scenarios

A Russian offensive against the Suwałki Corridor would represent a direct assault on NATO territory and trigger Article 5, initiating full-scale war between Russia and the Alliance. The most plausible trigger would be…

May 27, 2025NATO, Russia, USA

Intelligence ops National Security

Eyes in the Dark: Russia’s Hacking of Border Surveillance Cameras in EU States – Strategic Goals and Threats to NATO

In the evolving theater of hybrid warfare, cyber espionage has become a key instrument of state power. Recent reports and security assessments indicate a disturbing trend: Russian state-linked hackers have increasingly…

May 22, 2025China, EU, GRU, NATO, Russia

Geopolitics National Security

Ukraine’s Path to NATO: Legality, Obstruction, and Strategic Consequences

Ukraine’s aspiration to join NATO has long been a focal point in the Euro-Atlantic security debate. While the 1949 North Atlantic Treaty (Washington Treaty) clearly states that any European country sharing NATO's democratic…

April 24, 2025NATO, Ukraine, USA

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

The Future of NATO Under Trump: Declining U.S. Influence, European Alternatives, and the Strategic Consequences

The U.S. President Donald Trump’s skepticism toward NATO and opposition to Ukraine’s membership in the alliance have raised concerns about the long-term viability of transatlantic security cooperation. His stance weakens U.S. influence in…

April 2, 2025NATO, USA

Geopolitics Governance National Security

A Leadership Crisis: U.S.-Ukraine Talks and the Future of Global Security

The recent talks at the White House between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky raised questions about America's ability to continue leading the free world. It appears…

March 1, 2025NATO, Russia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

War and Its Ripple Effects: How Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine is Reshaping the World Order

The geopolitical consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have been profound and far-reaching, reshaping global alliances, security policies, and economic dynamics. 1. NATO Expansion and Strengthening Finland and Sweden Join…

February 24, 2025NATO, Russia, Ukraine, USA

- Energy Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Russian Gas, Geopolitical Risks, and the Path to Conflict

The European Union remains divided on achieving energy independence from Russian gas. By demonstrating flexibility and a willingness to resume importing Russian gas, Europe risks escalating tensions with Moscow and…

January 2, 2025Hungary, NATO, Russia, Slovakia, Ukraine

Conflict Intelligence ops

Russian Sabotage of NATO’s Subsea Infrastructure in the Baltic Sea

Russian attacks on subsea infrastructure in the Baltic region requires a careful blend of factual evidence, historical context, and strategic communication. Russia is engaging in provocations in the Baltic Sea…

December 27, 2024Baltic, Estonia, Finland, GRU, NATO, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Nonproliferation

Russia Challenges China’s Influence Over North Korea, Raising the Risk of Global Conflict

Russia is actively working to reduce China’s influence over North Korea, a move that has heightened concerns about the potential for a broader geopolitical confrontation. By expanding its cooperation with…

October 17, 2024China, DPRK, NATO, Russia, South Korea, USA

Conflict Geopolitics

It is unlikely that Moscow will escalate its conflict with the West in the near future, even if the latter makes decisions in favor of Ukraine

Ukraine's operation on Russian territory (in the Kursk region) has revealed that the Kremlin's rhetoric about so-called "red lines" is a psychological operation aimed at exerting pressure on U.S. and…

September 11, 2024NATO, Russia, USA

NATO