Posted inGeopolitics Estimates
Russian Geopolitical Paranoia
Russia sees itself as a long suffering victim of international aggression, therefore it must be ever vigilant for the next attack on its sovereignty. To the Russian people, it is a…
Posted inGovernance Situation Reports
Annexation and ethnic confrontation: menaces for Guyana after the election
Guyana is falling into a political crisis marked by external meddling in the election, intervention risks of and ethnic confrontation. The catalyst for the crisis was the electoral commission’s decision…
Posted inSituation Reports
MH17 court hearings in The Hague: simulation
The simulation of court hearings in the case of the downing of Malaysian Airlines Boeing -777 passenger jet flight MH17 en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur on July 17,…
Posted inEstimates Intelligence ops
Working with the diasporas as an expansion and imperialism tool
Russia and Serbia aggressively support their compatriots abroad. Their approach to regulate this issue legislatively is quite similar. It reflects a strongly Orthodox martyrdom narrative. The protection of compatriots worldwide is…
Republika Srpska’s secession from BiH is impossible technically and pushes the Balkans in a new wave of violence
The technical impossibility of Republika Srpska’s secession from Bosnia and Herzegovina might destabilize the situation in the Balkans that internal and external forces can benefit. Such a scenario may occur…
Posted inIntelligence ops Situation Reports
Russia has got access to MH-17 case investigation files and is trying to influence public opinion on the eve of the court hearing
As the trial date on MH17 case approaches, the activity of pro-Russian disinformation groups is going to increase. But no amount of disinformation can negate the fact that both the Netherlands…
Posted inEstimates Intelligence ops
Naval updates threaten underwater comms systems with sabotage attack
Within last 3 years the Russian Navy deep-sea forces has been developed actively and rapidly and their operations significantly increased. Russia’s spy-ship Yantar (project 22010) is a carrier for mini-submarines…
Startling action art, Russian style
Defamation of Paris mayoral candidate Benjamin Griveaux, who was standing for the French President Emmanuel Macron’s La République En Marche! party, is a planned action to eliminate the French politician…
The future after Moldova’s reintegration
Moldova reverts to the plans for reintegration of Transnistria separatist republic developed in 2003. This initiative is obviously revived from the outside and does not come from the leadership of this…
Is it worth tolerating humiliation by history manipulators?
Misinformation and manipulation of historical facts in the European information space will intensify as the anniversary of the end of World War II in Europe is approaching. Amid the lack…