Venezuela Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Venezuela’s Asymmetric Shield: How Moscow Plans to Bleed a U.S. Invasion

The Venezuelan military has developed a plan to resist a U.S. operation against their country in the event the White House orders an invasion. The Venezuelan plan envisages guerrilla warfare…

November 12, 2025Russia, Venezuela, Wagner Group

Conflict Estimates National Security Warfare

Russian Air-Defense Deliveries to Venezuela and the Escalation Risk of U.S.–Venezuela Military Conflict

Russian deployment of new air-defense systems to Venezuela—including Pantsir-S1 and Buk-M2E batteries to reinforce the existing S-300VM (Antey-2500)—has altered the regional security calculus. The systems strengthen Caracas’ deterrence posture yet simultaneously raise miscalculation risks with the United States, which…

November 5, 2025USA, Venezuela

Geopolitics Warfare

Venezuela: Prospects and Risks of a Military Operation

1. Probability of Military Action https://twitter.com/SprinterExpres0/status/1964057963003289936 Assessment: Direct intervention is improbable without a major humanitarian or security crisis that shifts U.S. or regional calculus. 2. Scenarios of Military Operation A. Limited Intervention (Low-Intensity,…

September 8, 2025USA, Venezuela

Conflict

Venezuela and Guyana: the military conflict possible

Venezuela may soon invade the small South American country Guayana to annex its region Esequibas, which makes up more than 60% of the country's territory and is claimed by the…

December 1, 2023Brazil, Guyana, Venezuela

Democracy Drug trafficking Governance

Drug gangs along with local power brokers allegedly linked to assassination of Haitian president

Haitian president assassination was orchestrated by drug gangs, backed by some Haiti’s power brokers, as the attackers tried to indict the U.S. government of murder. Colombian and Venezuelan citizens, with drug…

July 9, 2021Colombia, Haiti, Venezuela

Corruption Drug trafficking National Security

Maduro regime to shield Alex Saab from extradition

Venezuelan regime of Nicolas Maduro has launched a campaign to save Alex Saab, his Alleged financier, from extradition to the USA. Maduro fears that investigation of Saab’s case may expose his connections with…

June 23, 2021Alex Saab, Venezuela

Conflict Intelligence ops

Russia uses Venezuela as foothold to stage operations against Brazil

The government of Brazil faces with a high-priority task at the military and intelligence level to minimize the destabilization activity carried out by the Russians from the territory of Venezuela.…

May 25, 2021Brazil, Russia, Venezuela

Governance

Government and paramilitary groups behind human rights violation in Venezuela

Venezuela’s government has been involved in committing crimes against humanity. The United Nations-backed fact-finding Independent mission on the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela investigated 223 cases of alleged extrajudicial executions, enforced disappearances, arbitrary detentions…

September 21, 2020Venezuela

Intelligence ops

Caracas staged country’s foreign invasion attempt

Venezuela has staged an invasion attempt to discredit and persecute the opposition within the country, as well as to consolidate political influence in the Latin American region using anti-U.S. sentiments…

May 6, 2020Cuba, Venezuela

Governance Situation Reports

Annexation and ethnic confrontation: menaces for Guyana after the election

Guyana is falling into a political crisis marked by external meddling in the election, intervention risks of and ethnic confrontation. The catalyst for the crisis was the electoral commission’s decision…

March 10, 2020Guyana, Russia, Venezuela

Venezuela