Wagner Group Archives - Page 2 of 5 - Robert Lansing Institute

Comoros protests are likely to shrink

Comoros opposition is unlikely to reach presidential reelection through street clashing, as army will quell protests. The risks of an armed uprising are extremely low. Assoumani could be supported by…

January 19, 2024Comoros, Wagner Group

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

Moscow concerned about losing colonial influence in the CAR, plans to intensify more on the continent

Russian government is quite concerned about the risks of losing its influence in the Central African Republic and access to its natural resources. Since 2014, in response to Western sanctions…

December 21, 2023CAR, Russia, Wagner Group

Conflict Propaganda and Disinformation Warfare

Russian PsyOp proves the Kremlin’s involvement in the operation agaist Israel

The forecasting about Russia’s misinformation campaign aimed at diverting attention to another 'unsuitable' target in matters of supplying weapons to Hamas militants for attacking Israel was confirmed. On October 7,…

October 9, 2023HAMAS, Israel, Palestine, Russia, Wagner Group

Coup

Ghana’s gold increases risks for Russian-backed coup

A military coup in Ghana is highly probable, with Wagner mercenary groups operating in the region. Moreover, these groups are now fully and officially controlled by Russia’s Defense Ministry, so…

October 4, 2023Ghana, gold, Russia, Wagner Group

Governance Intelligence ops

Russia facing changes following Prigozhin’s plane crash

The likely liquidation of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin will likely lead to tectonic shifts in Russia’s political system. On August 23, a business jet belonging to Mr Prigozhin was…

August 24, 2023Prigozhin, Russia, Wagner Group

Conflict migration

Wagner Group’s Belarus deployment unlikely connected with Prigozhin’s mutiny attempt

The build-up of Wagner Group’s presence on Belarusian soil allows predicting possible scenarios for their use. We are convinced that the deployment of these units in Belarus is not due…

August 3, 2023Belarus, Russia, Wagner Group

Coup Intelligence ops

Niger coup: Russia likely behind

The coup in Niger that ousted democratically elected President Mohamed Bazoum has signs that Russia is most probably involved. First of all, Wagner mercenaries made attempts to gain influence in Niger starting from 2021, as they launched disinformation campaigns to…

July 27, 2023Niger, Russia, Wagner Group

Geopolitics

Central Africa: The potential risks of foreign contingents’ confrontation in the region

Rwanda's influence growth in the Central African Republic (CAR) - involving military, diplomatic and economic interventions - is coming under increased scrutiny as Bangui's reliance on the support of Russian…

July 17, 2023CAR, Rwanda, Wagner Group

Corruption Governance

Zimbabwe’s escalation risks ahead of elections linked with Mnangagwa regime’s shady deals

Zimbabwe could be hit by a wave of violence ahead of the presidential and parliamentary elections scheduled for August 23, 2023. The upcoming round of destabilization may be related to…

July 7, 2023Belarus, gold, lithium, platinum, Russia, Wagner Group, Zimbabwe

Coup Governance

Mutiny in Russia: roots and risks

A rebellion rapidly unfolding in Russia comes as a direct consequence of the Putin regime’s weakening and the dramatic imbalance of the country’s system of checks and balances. By unleashing…

June 24, 2023Prigozhin, Russia, Wagner Group

Wagner Group