Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Russia–Finland: Prospects of Military Conflict

The existing indicators point to the Kremlin preparing subversive operations against Finland.” Although A deliberate, large-scale Russian conventional attack on Finland remains unlikely in 2025–27, given Russia’s force commitments and degraded conventional capacity.…

September 11, 2025Russia

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

Russian Drone Incursion into Poland – Analytic Overview

Russia continues to probe NATO’s tolerance for boundary violations, acts of sabotage against defense and infrastructure facilities, interference in political processes, and the creation of transport-related threats, including attempts on…

September 10, 2025Poland, Russia, Ukraine

Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Deepfake Diplomacy: How Moscow Uses Turkish Media to Target Lindsey Graham”

Russian intelligence agencies responsible for influence operations have begun to employ artificial intelligence, particularly deepfake technology, to fabricate “evidence” aimed at discrediting foreign politicians. One recent example appeared in the…

September 9, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics Warfare

Venezuela: Prospects and Risks of a Military Operation

1. Probability of Military Action https://twitter.com/SprinterExpres0/status/1964057963003289936 Assessment: Direct intervention is improbable without a major humanitarian or security crisis that shifts U.S. or regional calculus. 2. Scenarios of Military Operation A. Limited Intervention (Low-Intensity,…

September 8, 2025USA, Venezuela

Geopolitics Governance Intelligence ops

Building a Fifth Column: Russia’s Shift in Moldova’s Political Landscape”

Our earlier assessments are confirmed: the principal decision-making center and coordinator of Russian state bodies and private individuals involved in interfering in Moldova’s parliamentary elections is the Presidential Administration of the…

September 7, 2025Kiriyenko, Moldova, Russia

Governance Intelligence ops National Security

Putin’s and Kim Jong Un’s Biological Secrecy During Foreign Visits

During his rare trip to China in 2018, security protocols reportedly included the use of portable toilets brought from Pyongyang. Similar measures were in place under his father, the late Kim Jong Il. This…

September 5, 2025DPRK, Putin, Russia

Intelligence ops National Security Propaganda and Disinformation

SVR Director’s Attack on riedrich Merz: Why the Kremlin Reached for the “Nazi” Label

Russia’s foreign-intelligence chief, Sergey Naryshkin, amplified the Kremlin’s long-running trope that today’s European leaders are steered by “Nazi” ideas—this time aiming the charge at German Chancellor riedrich Merz. The timing and…

September 4, 2025Germany, Naryshkin, Russia, SVR, USA

Democracy Governance

Jamaica’s 2025 General Election: Actors, Outcomes, and What’s at Stake

Jamaicans vote at Sept. 3 rd for all 63 single-member constituencies (first-past-the-post). The race is competitive: the incumbent Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) seeks a third consecutive term against the People’s National Party (PNP). International observers (OAS) are…

September 3, 2025Jamaica

National Security Warfare

From Consoles to Combat: Russia’s Gamble on Gamer Armies and Accelerated Militarization”

Russia is accelerating the militarization of its society, with plans to increase the proportion of young people in the armed forces. According to our information, the Kremlin intends to form…

September 3, 2025Russia

Democracy Governance

Guyana’s 2025 Elections: Actors, Outcomes, and Risks

Guyanese voters are choosing a president and the 65-member National Assembly Sept. 1, 2025), with control over a world-class offshore oil boom at stake. Observers from the Commonwealth, EU, OAS…

September 1, 2025Guyana

Posts by Editorial paper