Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Sarajevo Safari: How the Kremlin Weaponizes Old War Crimes to Discipline Today’s ‘Disloyal’ Allies”

From “brotherhood” to treason: Russia’s punishment of Vučić In spring 2025, Russia’s SVR and MFA publicly accused Serbia of “stabbing Russia in the back” and effectively committing treason by allowing large volumes…

November 17, 2025Bosnia and Herzegovina, Russia, Serbia

Healthcare National Security

The Next Black Swan? Assessing the Pandemic Potential of Marburg Virus”

Marburg virus disease (MVD) — caused by the Marburg virus — is a hemorrhagic-fever pathogen in the same family as Ebola. It is rare but highly lethal in past outbreaks. While…

November 17, 2025Marburg

Geopolitics Propaganda and Disinformation

Blocking Moscow’s Outreach: Preventing African Participation in the Russia–Africa Ministerial Conference

Participation of African countries in the Second Russia–Africa Ministerial Conference in Egypt carries both direct and indirect risks for their governments. These risks include being used in Kremlin propaganda and…

November 14, 2025Africa, Russia, Sanctions

Intelligence ops

Cracks in the Pro-Russia Front: Why the AfD’s Internal Conflict Alarms the Kremlin

Divisions inside the German party Alternative for Germany (AfD) over relations with Russia have caused alarm in Moscow: the Kremlin is following with concern the conflict between the party’s co-chairs,…

November 13, 2025AfD, Germany, Russia

Geopolitics Governance ideology

The Serbian World crisis and Russia’s search for a new Balkan foothold

As Serbia wavers between Moscow and Brussels, the idea of a “Serbian World” is unraveling under the pressures of the Ukraine war. With Belgrade’s double game exposed, Russia may shift…

November 12, 2025Kosovo, Russia, Serbia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict Intelligence ops National Security Warfare

Venezuela’s Asymmetric Shield: How Moscow Plans to Bleed a U.S. Invasion

The Venezuelan military has developed a plan to resist a U.S. operation against their country in the event the White House orders an invasion. The Venezuelan plan envisages guerrilla warfare…

November 12, 2025Russia, Venezuela, Wagner Group

Geopolitics National Security

How Kenya Became Russia’s New Playbook for Undermining U.S. Power in Africa

Moscow is building economic ties with Kenya that are calibrated to Nairobi’s state priorities under Vision 2030. The package includes negotiations on trade agreements, regular exchanges of business delegations, and alignment…

November 11, 2025Kenya, Russia, USA

Democracy Governance

Guinea-Bissau’s November Elections: Actors, Trends, Risks, Scenarios, Foreign Influence, Consequences

Guinea-Bissau heads to simultaneous presidential and legislative elections on 23 November 2025 (with a possible second presidential round on 30 November) under highly contentious conditions: the opposition’s main force (PAIGC/Pai Terra Ranka)…

November 10, 2025Guinea-Bissau

Corruption Governance Intelligence ops National Security

The Kremlin’s Battle for Budapest: Russia’s Hybrid War to Keep Orbán in Power

The Kremlin has begun aggressively defending the regime in Budapest ahead of the April 2026 elections. It is evident that Moscow aims to strengthen its influence in Hungary and destroy the…

November 10, 2025Hungary, Russia, SVR, USA

Conflict Terrorism

Serbia’s hybrid warfare in Kosovo through state-tolerated terrorism

Serbian State Terrorism in Kosovo, Europe’s Silence and the Consequences for Regional Security In the autumn of 2025, a rare but revealing event reignited debate about Serbia’s covert interventions and…

November 7, 2025Kosovo, Serbia

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