Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

“The Result Before the Vote: How the Kremlin Is Engineering the 2026 State Duma Elections”

Russia’s parliamentary elections on September 18–20, 2026, are taking place under conditions in which the main parameters of political competition are largely determined before voting even begins. The long-term elimination…

September 8, 2026elections, Russia

Democracy War crimes

Mladić as a Symptom, Rather Than the Subject

Ratko Mladić is dead. But the political world that made him a hero to some, a general to others, and a convicted perpetrator of genocide in the eyes of international…

September 7, 2026Serbia

Intelligence ops

Closing Russia’s Diplomatic Back Door: Poland Targets Moscow’s Intelligence Infrastructure in Europe

Against the backdrop of intensifying Russian hybrid activity in Europe, Poland is calling for a systematic reduction of Russia’s diplomatic presence across the European Union. Warsaw’s initiative envisages not only…

September 7, 2026Russia

Governance influence ops

“Vannacci’s Moscow Tenure: Contacts, Influence, and Counterintelligence Questions”

Within the ruling Fratelli d’Italia (FdI) party, concern is growing over Roberto Vannacci’s political activities and the possibility of Russian influence on his entourage or political project. At the same…

September 4, 2026Futuro Nazionale, Italy

Governance

After King Oyo: Why the Tooro Succession Could Matter Far Beyond the Royal Palace

The death of King Oyo Nyimba Kabamba Iguru Rukidi IV at the age of 34 has opened one of the most sensitive transitions in the recent history of Uganda’s traditional…

September 3, 2026Uganda

Geopolitics

“Mutual Sustainment of Wars: A New Model of the Russia–Iran Alliance”

The meeting between Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on September 1 at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek indicates that Russian-Iranian relations are moving toward a deeper…

September 3, 2026Iran, Russia, Ukraine, USA

Intelligence ops National Security

Attack in Brandenburg: Has Moscow Begun to Act on Its Threats Against Germany?

The attempted sabotage of one of the most important nodes in Germany’s energy system near the Jänschwalde power plant in Brandenburg could represent the next episode in the hybrid confrontation…

September 2, 2026Germany, Russia

Governance influence ops Intelligence ops National Security

After Leipzig: Germany Moves to Dismantle Russia’s Influence Infrastructure

After Berlin officially held Russia responsible on September 1, 2026, for an attempted explosive-drone attack on Leipzig/Halle Airport, the government announced a package of measures: the closure of the Russian…

September 2, 2026Germany

Economy Governance

Possible AfD Victory in Saxony-Anhalt: Risks to the Investment Climate

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) warned that the Alternative for Germany (AfD) coming to power in Saxony-Anhalt could cause the state “significant damage,” primarily by reducing international investment. In his…

September 1, 2026AfD, Germany

Democracy Governance

Guinea-Bissau’s Constitutional Referendum: Stabilization Reform or Institutionalization of Military-Backed Presidential Rule?

Guinea-Bissau’s August 30 constitutional referendum should be understood as a constitutional redesign, a mechanism for legitimizing the post-coup political order, and potentially a means of restructuring the political system in favor…

August 31, 2026Guinea-Bissau

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