Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Intelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation

SVR’s Narrative on EU Interference in Serbia: Claims, Risks, and Reality”

Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) continues to discredit itself by taking part in disinformation campaigns targeting foreign leaders. These operations are framed as part of Moscow’s effort to counter Western…

September 17, 2025Russia, Serbia

Geopolitics National Security

Trump and Lukashenko: Tactical Diplomacy, Strategic Risks

President Trump sent a personal letter to Lukashenko via a special envoy; Washington eased sanctions on Belavia after Minsk released 52 political prisoners; and—for the first time since 2022—U.S. officers…

September 16, 2025Belarus, Russia, USA

Governance Intelligence ops National Security

Russia’s Hybrid Playbook in France: Extremist Convergence and Information Warfare

Russia is destabilizing French society, turning it against the government and seeking the overthrow of President Emmanuel Macron. This objective is driven by France’s role in Europe and Africa, where…

September 15, 2025France

Governance Intelligence ops

Russian Hybrid Operations and the Threat of Extremist Convergence in Germany

Russia appears to be returning to active subversive operations in Germany after a period of concentrating on influence campaigns and psychological operations. We are convinced that the Kremlin is seriously…

September 12, 2025AfD, Germany, Russia

Geopolitics Intelligence ops Warfare

Russia–Finland: Prospects of Military Conflict

The existing indicators point to the Kremlin preparing subversive operations against Finland.” Although A deliberate, large-scale Russian conventional attack on Finland remains unlikely in 2025–27, given Russia’s force commitments and degraded conventional capacity.…

September 11, 2025Russia

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

Russian Drone Incursion into Poland – Analytic Overview

Russia continues to probe NATO’s tolerance for boundary violations, acts of sabotage against defense and infrastructure facilities, interference in political processes, and the creation of transport-related threats, including attempts on…

September 10, 2025Poland, Russia, Ukraine

Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

Deepfake Diplomacy: How Moscow Uses Turkish Media to Target Lindsey Graham”

Russian intelligence agencies responsible for influence operations have begun to employ artificial intelligence, particularly deepfake technology, to fabricate “evidence” aimed at discrediting foreign politicians. One recent example appeared in the…

September 9, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics Warfare

Venezuela: Prospects and Risks of a Military Operation

1. Probability of Military Action https://twitter.com/SprinterExpres0/status/1964057963003289936 Assessment: Direct intervention is improbable without a major humanitarian or security crisis that shifts U.S. or regional calculus. 2. Scenarios of Military Operation A. Limited Intervention (Low-Intensity,…

September 8, 2025USA, Venezuela

Geopolitics Governance Intelligence ops

Building a Fifth Column: Russia’s Shift in Moldova’s Political Landscape”

Our earlier assessments are confirmed: the principal decision-making center and coordinator of Russian state bodies and private individuals involved in interfering in Moldova’s parliamentary elections is the Presidential Administration of the…

September 7, 2025Kiriyenko, Moldova, Russia

Governance Intelligence ops National Security

Putin’s and Kim Jong Un’s Biological Secrecy During Foreign Visits

During his rare trip to China in 2018, security protocols reportedly included the use of portable toilets brought from Pyongyang. Similar measures were in place under his father, the late Kim Jong Il. This…

September 5, 2025DPRK, Putin, Russia

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