Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

São Tomé and Príncipe’s 2026 Presidential Election: Political Crisis, Island Democracy, and Strategic Competition in the Gulf of Guinea

São Tomé and Príncipe is scheduled to hold its presidential election on 19 July 2026, with a possible second round on 9 August 2026. The vote comes at a politically sensitive moment. Although…

June 10, 2026elections, Sao Tome and Principe

Geopolitics influence ops

Georgia: The U.S. Audit of Russian and Chinese Influence in the South Caucasus

The U.S. House of Representatives has approved a bill calling for an investigation into the activities of Russian and Chinese intelligence services in Georgia, as well as the preparation of…

June 10, 2026Georgia, Russia, USA

Governance influence ops National Security

EU Enlargement at Risk: Serbia’s Citizenship Policy and the Challenge of Russian Influence

The growing number of Russian citizens acquiring Serbian citizenship and thereby gaining visa-free access to the European Union presents potential security risks for the EU. According to a European Commission…

June 9, 2026EU, Russia, Serbia

Democracy Governance

Algeria’s Parliamentary Elections 2026: Stability, Controlled Competition, and the Future of the Tebboune System

Algeria will hold parliamentary elections on 2 July 2026, marking the first legislative contest since President Abdelmadjid Tebboune consolidated his authority following his re-election and a series of constitutional and electoral reforms. More than…

June 8, 2026Algeria, elections

Economy Geoeconomics Geopolitics National Security

The Potash Trap for Washington: How Minsk and Moscow Are Seeking to Leverage U.S. Interest in the Nezhinsky Potash Project to Undermine the Sanctions Regime

In December 2025 and again in March 2026, the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) eased certain restrictions affecting Belarus's potash sector and selected financial institutions. Reuters…

June 8, 2026Belarus, Russia, Sanctions, USA

Drug trafficking

Cocaine Scandal Surrounding Metropolitan Hilarion: Implications for the Russian Orthodox Church, Kremlin Influence Networks, and Transnational Illicit Activity

Police in the Czech Republic have officially confirmed that the white powder discovered in the car of Metropolitan Hilarion (Alfeyev), the former head of the Czech branch of the Russian…

June 5, 2026Orthodox church, Russia

Conflict National Security

The Evolution of the White House’s Approach to the War in Ukraine: From Rapid Settlement to Strategic

Recent remarks by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio mark a significant shift in the White House's approach toward the war in Ukraine. Rubio's statement that Russia "cannot achieve its negotiating goals…

June 4, 2026Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics Intelligence ops National Security

The Strategic Logic Behind the Polish-British Defense Pact

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has stated that Warsaw seeks the closest possible coordination with London in response to growing Russian military and hybrid threats. According to Prime Minister Donald…

June 3, 2026United Kingdom

Economy Geoeconomics Governance

Denmark’s Sanctions Loophole: How Fayard Helps Sustain Russia’s Arctic LNG Fleet

Despite the tightening of EU sanctions policy and public criticism from the Danish government, one of Europe’s largest shipyards—the Danish shipbuilding company Fayard—continues to service ice-class LNG carriers that facilitate…

June 2, 2026Denmark, Russia, Sanctions

National Security Warfare

Japanese Technologies in the Production Cycle of KN-23/KN-24 Missiles

Risks to Japan’s National Security and the Need for Enhanced Export Controls Analysis of debris from North Korean KN-23 and KN-24 ballistic missiles used by Russia in attacks against Ukraine…

June 2, 2026China, DPRK, Japan, Sanctions, USA

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