Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Russia facing changes following Prigozhin’s plane crash

The likely liquidation of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin will likely lead to tectonic shifts in Russia’s political system. On August 23, a business jet belonging to Mr Prigozhin was…

August 24, 2023Prigozhin, Russia, Wagner Group

Intelligence ops migration National Security

The Kremlin’s subversive activity pulls closer religious clashes in Western Europe

It is getting overwhelmingly likely that, in the context of a sharp confrontation with the West, the Kremlin intends to place a bet on fueling religious conflict in Europe. Such a…

August 23, 2023Russia

- Conflict Geopolitics

Serbia poses a threat to NATO allies

Due to recognition of Kosova’s independence, Montenegro and North Macedonia were recently threatened by the Serbian government. The threat was posed by none other than the Serbia’s minister of defense Milos…

August 22, 2023Kosovo, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia

National Security Nonproliferation War crimes

Russia looking for reason to launch nuclear testing and total mobilization

The Kremlin is most likely to gear up for provocations followed by radiation poisoning, according to some reports coming from Russia. We've seen regular RFF9903 Moscow-Sarov-Novaya Zemlya flights by An-148-100…

August 18, 2023nuclear weapons, Rosatom, Russia, Ukraine

Democracy Governance

The 2023 Liberian presidential elections: violence risks runs high while no candidate is ready to lose

Whoever wins election in Liberia, the loser or losers might not readily accept defeat that rises a bid of violence. In most African presidential elections, the losing candidate cries fault, justly…

August 16, 2023Liberia

Intelligence ops migration

Russian migrants threaten Euro-Atlantic security

The Kremlin is gearing up to meddle in U.S. presidential election, as its agents seek to infiltrate into this country. The number of Russian citizens who applied for asylum in…

August 14, 2023Russia, USA

Intelligence ops

Russian intelligence has lost the ability to protect from arrest its discredited agents abroad

Russian intelligence has lost the ability to protect from arrest its discredited agents abroad, as evidenced by the example of Austria’s former Minister of Foreign Affairs Karin Kneissl, who unexpectedly…

August 10, 2023Austria, Kneissl

Democracy Governance

Pakistani ISI strengthens political influence in the country by lobbying for the legislation amendments

The National Assembly (Parliament) of Pakistan green-lighted the intelligence law proposed by the government. The legislative initiative grants wider powers to the country's top intelligence agencies and provides for a three-year prison term for anyone guilty of…

August 9, 2023ISI, Pakistan

Geoeconomics Intelligence ops Warfare

Conflicts drag on, as tech companies violate international sanctions

Having studied how the sanctions imposed on Russia are observed, we see the West has failed to stop Russian aggression, support democracy and independence in Ukraine, and contain the Kremlin's…

August 8, 2023Russia, Sanctions, USA

Conflict migration

Wagner Group’s Belarus deployment unlikely connected with Prigozhin’s mutiny attempt

The build-up of Wagner Group’s presence on Belarusian soil allows predicting possible scenarios for their use. We are convinced that the deployment of these units in Belarus is not due…

August 3, 2023Belarus, Russia, Wagner Group

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