Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

It is unlikely that Moscow will escalate its conflict with the West in the near future, even if the latter makes decisions in favor of Ukraine

Ukraine's operation on Russian territory (in the Kursk region) has revealed that the Kremlin's rhetoric about so-called "red lines" is a psychological operation aimed at exerting pressure on U.S. and…

September 11, 2024NATO, Russia, USA

Corruption Governance

The arrest of the former head of Pakistan’s intelligence agency has deepened the country’s political crisis.

Pakistan's unprecedented arrest and court-martial of a former spy chief raises the heat on Imran Khan and could be the precursor to prosecuting the jailed former prime minister on charges…

September 9, 2024ISI, Pakistan

Conflict Geopolitics

Russia Unwilling to Defend Iran’s Interests Despite Strategic Use

In the South Caucasus, a clash of interests involving Iran, Turkey, and Azerbaijan continues, with Russia aligning itself with Ankara and Baku at the expense of Tehran’s goals. Turkey and…

September 6, 2024Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Russia, Turkiye

Democracy Governance

Abdelmadjid Tebboune Poised to Secure Re-Election with Majority Votes in Algeria’s First Round of Voting”

The campaign is drawing to a close for Algeria's presidential election this weekend. The only real unknown is how many voters will turn out. Tuesday was the final day of campaigning for the…

September 4, 2024Algeria

Geopolitics Governance

Eswatini-Zuma Marriage: political, economic, and social implications for Eswatini and South Africa

Eswatini's King Mswati III's plans to wed Nomcebo Zuma, the daughter of former South African President Jacob Zuma, as his 16th wife. This will strengthen the ties between the two leaders.…

September 3, 2024Eswatini, South Africa

Geopolitics

Ethiopia’s Fears of Losing regional Influence

The tension between Ethiopia and Egypt appears to have escalated as Cairo extends support to Somalia's peace mission and an offer of security personnel to replace the African Union-backed force,…

September 2, 2024Egypt, Ethiopia, Somalia, Somaliland

Corruption Governance

Reasons and Consequences of Arrests in the Russian Ministry of Defense

In Russia, the purge of both former and current generals within the Ministry of Defense is ongoing. This effort is effectively a crackdown on the team of Sergei Shoigu, whom the…

August 30, 2024Russia

Governance

Armenia Expands Powers of Foreign Intelligence Service to Counteract Russian Subversive Activities

Armenia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (FIS) is expanding its authority, potentially undermining the position of the National Security Service (NSS). A new draft law introduced by the FIS proposes granting the…

August 29, 2024Armenia

Democracy Governance

Polls in South Sudan Unlikely to Prevent Further Violence

New threats continue to emerge in the South Sudanese landscape, particularly as December 2024 draws closer.There have been major defections of influential generals from the Sudan People's Liberation Movement-In Opposition. They have…

August 27, 2024South Sudan

Geopolitics Peacekeeping

Türkiye seeks to maintain a balance against the potential disruption of geostrategic interests

Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud announced in a hard-hitting televised speech on the evening of 17 August that his country would not hold further talks with Ethiopia unless it "recognises the sovereignty…

August 23, 2024Ethiopia, Somalia, Turkiye

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