Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Beyond nationalism and euroscepticism, Orban and Dodik`s ambitions to restore the Empire

The Prime Minister of Hungary, Viktor Orban has been known to have close ties with all opponents of the EU in the Balkans, but lately he is creating closer ties…

March 31, 2023Bosnia and Herzegovina, Hungary, Republica Srpska

Democracy Governance

Territorial claims by Lesotho’s opposition further post-apartheid tensions

The motion by Lesotho’s opposition to return parts of South Africa's territory is not especially popular amongst the inhabitants of Lesotho, and even though the issue emerges periodically as a talking point, it doesn't appear…

March 30, 2023Lesotho

National Security Warfare

Iran uses Russian war on Ukraine to modernize, develop own UAV program

The Iranian UAV program is on a spree of further expanding cooperation with Russia. Moscow's demand for cheap and user-friendly drones leads the Kremlin to try to both increase the…

March 29, 2023Iran

Intelligence ops

Russia uses personal data of dead infants for “illegal” spies’ cover identity

The mass exposure of Russia’s most valuable spies, the so-called “illegals,” allows for identifying some ofMoscow's general approaches to setting up cover identities for their assets, as well as mechanisms…

March 27, 2023Argentina, Brazil, Greece, GRU

Intelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops

GRU operation in Romania points to crisis in Russia’s Intel community

Russian intelligence in Europe is going through a deep crisis after the mass expulsion of their operatives who had been working under diplomatic cover (750 people). Less frequent contacts with the…

March 23, 2023AUR, Diana Șoșoacă, GRU, Romania, Russia, SVR

Corruption Democracy Governance

Guatemala’s deteriorating democracy

Guatemala’s democracy is facing a severe crisis. The authorities have undermined human rights safeguards and institutional checks on the abuse of power in an effort to prevent accountability for widespread…

March 22, 2023FECI, Guatemala

War crimes Warfare

Attack on Chimbolo mine in view of Xi’s Moscow visit

Russia’s Wagner Group attempted to seize the Chimbolo gold mine in the Central African Republic, which is operated by China’s Gold Cost Group. Nine Chinese nationals were killed in the…

March 21, 2023CAR, gold, Wagner Group

Estimates Opinion

Will the French-German Proposal Finally End the Longest Conflict in the Balkans?

There was a general understanding reached during the previous meeting between Prime Minister Kurti and President Vucic in Brussels over contents of the Franco-German proposal, also known as the EU…

March 17, 2023Kosovo, Serbia

Governance

The Kremlin seeks preservation of the basic checks and balances system with a model of confrontational competition

The active process of private military companies being created in Russia has a domestic political nature, rather than any military significance, leading to an even deeper crisis in the country’s…

March 16, 2023PMC, Russia

Democracy Governance

Presidential election in Liberia likely to bring more authoritarian and corrupt rule

The current atmosphere of insecurity and violence would pose on the pending elections in Liberia. With acting president eager to keep the power, the current priorities of political stability, strong…

March 15, 2023Liberia

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