Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Trends in IRGC’s appointments and centers of influence

The Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is reportedly cleaning house after a series of intelligence failures, including the IRGC officers who have been assassinated in Iran, or died under mysterious circumstances. The IRGC is…

July 11, 2022Iran

Intelligence ops

Russian intelligence to enhance information campaign in the Netherlands

Russia keeps on carrying out information campaigns and psyops in the Netherlands to enhance impact on country’s political system. A workshop "Understanding the Conflict in Ukraine", assisted by the Forum…

July 9, 2022Netherlands

Coup Governance

Sudanese political forces skeptically meet El Burhan’s proposal

The announcement about military’s withdrawal of the Sudanese current civilian government has been skeptically taken and rejected by the mainstream parties, resistance committees and other opposition groups of the country. On…

July 6, 2022Sudan

Intelligence ops

Growing activity and interests of Russian intelligence in Switzerland

Switzerland that abstains from expelling Russian spies, might serve as new Russia’s espionage hub in Europe. After Russian troops invaded Ukraine, over 500 Russian diplomats have been expelled from the…

July 5, 2022intelligence, Russia, Switzerland

Geopolitics Propaganda and Disinformation

Belgorod’s case: flashback to 1999

With evidence of multiple war crimes by Russia in Ukraine obtained and disclosed, rocket and strike assaults on civilian infrastructure and residential buildings among them, the Kremlin is seeking to…

July 4, 2022Belarus, Russia

Geoeconomics

Africa loses gold deposit sovereignty and turns into Russian colony

Sudan has lost effective control over its gold deposits. Moscow expands its presence in the country and gets more involved in mining by using corrupt ties with the military junta…

June 29, 2022Russia, Sudan

Nonproliferation

Minsk joined Russia’s nuclear blackmail

Moscow projects signals of readiness to deploy nuclear weapons in Belarus. When Lukashenko talked to Putin in St. Petersburg most recently, he expressed his willingness to upgrade Belarusian Su-25 (Frogfoot) aircraft to carry nuclear weapons. On the one hand, that speaks of the plans…

June 28, 2022Belarus, nuclear weapons, Russia

Estimates Governance

Lukashenko risks losing sovereignty, army, and power

Russia is seeking to get Belarus into the war in Ukraine, with a view to absorb it and deprive of sovereignty. On June 23, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu called for an enhanced joint defense of Russia and Belarus, including a single regional air defense system.…

June 24, 2022Belarus, Russia

Democracy Governance

Mahmoud Abbas’ most likely successor raises legitimacy concerns

The nepotistic rise of Hussein al-Sheikh, the PA's key liaison with Israel, is emblematic of much that is wrong with the Palestinian leadership. After a year in power, Israel’s “government…

June 22, 2022Palestine

Governance

Putin’s mental state requires search for alternative contacts among Russian leaders

Lack of any success in contacts between the leaders of the United States and Europe with Russia'sleader regarding the war in Ukraine prioritizes the need to analyze the psychology of decision-making by the President of Russia. Some…

June 21, 2022Russia

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