Posted inMust Read Infographics
Posted inEstimates Intelligence ops
Unrest in Kazakhstan: potential geopolitical impact
Russia takes advantage of unrest in Kazakhstan to set up a puppet government there and deploy its own soldiers in the country. The unrest started in the west where mainly…
Posted inCorruption Democracy
Personal sanctions can press the Kremlin more effectively
The latest tensions around Ukraine, Russia's ultimatums sent to the United States, the EU and NATO, as well as the Kremlin’s threats to attack some targets in Europe with the…
Posted inDemocracy Governance
Regime in Mali wends Syria’s way
Mali's military junta puts aside democratic path of development. The military, backed by policy-makers from abroad, step up control over the government and set up authoritarian power in the region. The…
Posted inCoup Estimates Governance
The possible failure of Sudanese democracy future
Sudan was plunged into further political turmoil when Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok resigned, citing his failure to ensure a peaceful transition to democracy. With his resignation, Sudan appears to have once again…
Posted inPropaganda and Disinformation Psyops
Russian propaganda gets involved in smearing Bridget Macron before the upcoming presidential election
There are all grounds to assume that Moscow is involved in smear camping against the wife of French President Emanuel Macron, thereby to decrease the chances of the sitting French…
Posted inEstimates Governance
Seeking alternative interlocutors in Russia
As so-called transfer in Russia is oncoming and relations between the Kremlin and the West are strained, possibilities open up for talks with some Russian leaders, likely to seek for…
Posted inGeopolitics
Russia’s fear has a quick ear
Russia sent to Washington its security guarantees draft agreements with the United States and NATO. One of the draft clauses is having NATO’s guarantees of non-expansion on the territory of…
Posted inGeoeconomics
Iran to enlarge terrorist and proxy activity financing with IRGC’s shadow economy next year
To avoid sanctions and enlarge ability to finance terrorist, proxies’ activity and WMD development programs Iran will expand illegal trade operations under IRGC umbrella next year. It may indicate that…
Posted inConflict Governance
Bosnian Serbs’ secession from BiH might be a part of the Kremlin-China multimove game
Russia fuels the conflict in the Balkans in order to divert attention from the situation on its border with Ukraine. The Kremlin believes that escalating the Balkan conflict and attacking…