Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Minsk effort to trigger migration crisis in the Baltics, to make for soft power shift in Belarus

Political turmoil in Belarus brought the Syrian emigration scenario to Lithuanian border. Despite the political unrest in Belarus, illegal migrants, eager to get across to Lithuania, mostly come from Asia…

June 11, 2021Belarus, Lithuania, Lukashenko

Terrorism

The Boko Haram leader’s death to empower the Islamic State in the West Africa

The death of Abubakar Shekau means that the Islamic State could concentrate in the region the military capabilities and improve public image by increasing terrorist group recruits. Moreover, we expect…

June 11, 2021Abubakar Shekau, Boko Haram, ISWAP, Nigeria

Intelligence ops

Increased Russian activity since the Cold War days requires tougher response

Intelligence and sabotage penetration by Russia into NATO exceeds Cold War levels, thus bearing much greater risks for the West and Alliance as a whole. On June 6, in an interview…

June 8, 2021Germany, NATO, Russia

Democracy Governance

Mounting persecution of opposition in Nicaragua to delegitimize November elections

The Ortega government speaks out against Nicaraguan opposition, removing all political credibility for the country’s government and electoral system. Systematic and repeated violations of the rule of law delegitimize the…

June 4, 2021Nicaragua

Democracy Governance

Ethiopia at risk of falling into authoritarian rule, defeating democracy

Democracy is shrinking in Ethiopia at noon of the Parliament elections postponed twice since last year. Peaceful voting is questionable due to the security situation in the country and boycott by opposition parties stemming from unrest. The…

June 2, 2021Ethiopia, Tigray

Geopolitics Propaganda and Disinformation

Why does Serbia demand the construction of a Russian military camp in Balkans?

Challenging for KFOR was the confrontation with Russian troops, who had occupied Pristina airport before the arrival of NATO forces in Kosovo in June 1999. The Russians, without prior coordination…

June 1, 2021Balkans, Kosovo, Russia, Serbia

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

Kremlin to elbow Paris out of Africa, raising risks for France

Russia keeps infiltrating into French affairs, splintering its influence in overseas territories, most notably in Africa. The French Army Chief of Staff, General François Lecointre’s interview to the French media addresses "the…

May 31, 2021Chad, France, Mali, Russia

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

The Ryanair plane forced landing makes Belarus’ closer to absorption

Ryanair FR4978 plane forced landing incident is an act of state air piracy and reflects Russia's geopolitical interests as of Belarus. Great Britain shares the same opinion. According to British…

May 26, 2021Belarus, Russia

Conflict Intelligence ops

Russia uses Venezuela as foothold to stage operations against Brazil

The government of Brazil faces with a high-priority task at the military and intelligence level to minimize the destabilization activity carried out by the Russians from the territory of Venezuela.…

May 25, 2021Brazil, Russia, Venezuela

Economy Energy Governance

Smuggling, cryptocurrencies and illegal mining in northern Kosovo

Smuggled goods enter Kosovo freely from Serbia, through the villages of North Mitrovica since the post-war period. The Government of Kosovo has never succeeded to extend its authority 100% in this…

May 19, 2021cryptocurrency, Kosovo, North Mitrovica, Serbia

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