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Moscow to back out of US sanctions – eager to establish a monopoly on the European gas market
Posted inEnergy Situation Reports

Moscow to back out of US sanctions – eager to establish a monopoly on the European gas market

Russia milks COVID19 pandemic for all its worth to break the US sanctions targeting to shield the European energy market from the Kremlin’s concentrated control and to diversify natural gas…
Read More
March 25, 2020Tags: Gazprom, Nord Stream-2, Russia
MH17 case: path to designating Russia as state sponsor of terrorism
Posted inEstimates Terrorism

MH17 case: path to designating Russia as state sponsor of terrorism

Continued hearings in the case of the downing of Malaysian Airlines passesnger jet flight MH17 over Donbas in July 2014 brings higher risks for Russia's top leadership. In fact, the…
Read More
March 23, 2020Tags: MH17, Netherlands, Russia
Reuters pic
Posted inPropaganda and Disinformation Psyops Situation Reports

Russia is one of the key beneficiary parties in SARS-CoV-2 pandemic crisis

The coronavirus topic is used in the information war with the aim to discredit the EU health system. The campaign targets is to aggravate the health crisis in Western European countries,…
Read More
March 23, 2020Tags: coronavirus, Covid-19, Russia
Kenyan-Somali territorial argument to strengthen Al Shabaab’s hand and offer a chance to Ethiopia
Posted inSituation Reports Terrorism

Kenyan-Somali territorial argument to strengthen Al Shabaab’s hand and offer a chance to Ethiopia

Kenya seeks to engage Ethiopia in resolving the issue of a common border with Somalia hoping to use Addis Ababa’s leverage on the President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo of Somalia. However, there…
Read More
March 13, 2020Tags: Kenya, Somalia
Annexation and ethnic confrontation: menaces for Guyana after the election
Posted inGovernance Situation Reports

Annexation and ethnic confrontation: menaces for Guyana after the election

Guyana is falling into a political crisis marked by external meddling in the election, intervention risks of and ethnic confrontation. The catalyst for the crisis was the electoral commission’s decision…
Read More
March 10, 2020Tags: Guyana, Russia, Venezuela
Prince Mohammed bin Salman clears away to the throne against King Salman’s death expectation
Posted inGovernance Situation Reports

Prince Mohammed bin Salman clears away to the throne against King Salman’s death expectation

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's swoop against potential royal challengers shows his concerns about his grip on power. March 6, King Salman's full young brother, Prince Ahmed bin Abdulaziz,…
Read More
March 9, 2020Tags: Saudi Arabia
The Ivorian President’s official refusal to run for the third term does not pull him out of the power
Posted inGovernance Situation Reports

The Ivorian President’s official refusal to run for the third term does not pull him out of the power

Despite the refusal of the President of Côte d'Ivoire Alassane Ouattara to run for elections in October 2020, his intent to hand over power effectively might result in a political crisis…
Read More
March 9, 2020Tags: Alassane Ouattara, Baule, Béte, Cote d’Ivoire, Dioula
Further Jubbaland-Mogadishu confrontation to threaten fight against al Shabaab
Posted inSituation Reports Terrorism

Further Jubbaland-Mogadishu confrontation to threaten fight against al Shabaab

Clashes between the Somali army, commanded by the federal government, and Jubbaland security forces (Daraawiish) loyal to state leader Ahmed Madobe can intensify divisions that help Islamist insurgents and may…
Read More
March 6, 2020Tags: Al Shabaab, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia
MH17 court hearings in The Hague: simulation
Posted inSituation Reports

MH17 court hearings in The Hague: simulation

The simulation of court hearings in the case of the downing of Malaysian Airlines Boeing -777 passenger jet flight MH17 en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur on July 17,…
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March 4, 2020Tags: MH17, Netherlands, Russia
Working with the diasporas as an expansion and imperialism tool
Posted inEstimates Intelligence ops

Working with the diasporas as an expansion and imperialism tool

Russia and Serbia aggressively support their compatriots abroad. Their approach to regulate this issue legislatively is quite similar. It reflects a strongly Orthodox martyrdom narrative. The protection of compatriots worldwide is…
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February 28, 2020Tags: Russia, Serbia

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