The drone’s strategy between Hezbollah and Israel
The New York Times from a few days ago reconstructs what happened in Syria on April 15th and reported in twitter images. An Israeli drone attacks a Jeep belonging to…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
North Caucasus on the verge of social upheaval
The North Caucasus is one of the most flawed regions for the central government of the Russian Federation. The uncontrolled COVID-19 spread in certain parts of the North Caucasus and…
Standing Up to the Russian Bear: Will Russia Deploy Little Green Men Against Estonia After the Pandemic Ends?
The small Baltic nation of Estonia was considered a “vassal” state (Soviet Republic) within the U.S.S.R. from the time of its invasion and occupation by Soviet forces on June 17, 1940 until August…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
Lebanon: The Liberation of Amer Fakhoury and Hassan Nasrallah
Amer Fakhoury is the one who will highlight a crack between Hezbollah's leadership and its base, what we had not been able to see in all the years of the…
Muqtada al-Sadr: America’s Last Opportunity for Lasting Peace in Iraq
Muqtada al-Sadr is arguably the most powerful person in Iraq. Son of the deceased, popular Shiite leader and cleric, Grand Ayatollah Mohammad Sadeq al-Sadr, he commands a large and well-armed Iraqi…
Republika Srpska’s secession from BiH is impossible technically and pushes the Balkans in a new wave of violence
The technical impossibility of Republika Srpska’s secession from Bosnia and Herzegovina might destabilize the situation in the Balkans that internal and external forces can benefit. Such a scenario may occur…
The future after Moldova’s reintegration
Moldova reverts to the plans for reintegration of Transnistria separatist republic developed in 2003. This initiative is obviously revived from the outside and does not come from the leadership of this…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
Cameroonian rebel groups start rivalry for power and access to finances
Internal rivalry for power among the separatist groups in Cameroon caused clashes between them and played into the hands of the military. Clashes between Cameroon’s rebel groups have intensified in the…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
Russia is ready to change a political player in Abkhazia whose clans struggle for financial aid
The political crisis in the self-proclaimed and unrecognized state of Abkhazia, the Caucasus, will not result in its foreign policy changes; however, it reflects the Abkhaz elites’ clans struggling for…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
In Syria Russia destroyed the Assad opposition resource base rather than fought against the IS
Analyzing the Russian military campaign in Syria it can be suggested that the fight against the IS was not Russia’s key target in Syria within 2015-2019. Attacks on the IS…