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Conflict

Escalatory symptoms in South Caucasus: risks for Azerbaijan
Posted inConflict

Escalatory symptoms in South Caucasus: risks for Azerbaijan

Russia seeks to ramp up conflicts in the South Caucasus, provoking against Azerbaijan. Skirmishes between the servicemen of Armenia and Azerbaijan in Tovuz district began on July 12, leaving three…
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July 16, 2020Tags: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Russia, Turkey
Russia chisels away at Assad’s entourage
Posted inConflict

Russia chisels away at Assad’s entourage

In-fighting erupts between Syrian intelligence and army in Damascus. Violent clashes broke out between Syrian regime intelligence forces and local militias affiliated with the army’s 4th Division and national defense…
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July 13, 2020Tags: Russia, Syria
Police and military of Mozambique fight over influence
Posted inConflict

Police and military of Mozambique fight over influence

The riot police and the Ministry of Interior are running the Cabo Delgado war; however, the army and the Ministry of Defence are fighting to take over. Being always known collectively…
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June 26, 2020Tags: DAG, Mozambique, Wagner Group
Ladakh province conflict makes India find an ally
Posted inConflict

Ladakh province conflict makes India find an ally

The high risk for conflicted China and India to have a full-fledged armed conflict will force New Delhi to look for external allies in order to balance forces in the…
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June 22, 2020Tags: China, India, Pakistan
Russia is poised to boost military activities in Libya
Posted inConflict

Russia is poised to boost military activities in Libya

Russia has flown MIG 29 and SU 35 fighters, as well as SU 24 bombers, part of its Aerospace Forces (VKS), to Libya. Twitter. The transfer came as the Russian…
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May 29, 2020Tags: Haftar, Libya, Russia
The dead end of the Yemeni conflict
Posted inConflict Situation Reports

The dead end of the Yemeni conflict

On March 26, the United Nations Secretary General, António Guterres called for the immediate cessation of hostilities in Yemen. His request for a negotiated political solution was welcomed by both the legitimate government,…
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May 7, 2020Tags: Gerta Zaimi, Yemen
Moscow’s Middle-East Adventure: Is Russian Support for the Syrian Regime Wag the Dog?
Posted inConflict

Moscow’s Middle-East Adventure: Is Russian Support for the Syrian Regime Wag the Dog?

Why is Moscow continuing to send troops to fight and die in the deserts of Syria while simultaneously fighting the rapidly growing Covid-19 pandemic at home? Russian military forces, both regular military…
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May 6, 2020Tags: David DeBatto, Russia, Syria
The drone’s strategy between Hezbollah and Israel
Posted inConflict Estimates

The drone’s strategy between Hezbollah and Israel

The New York Times from a few days ago reconstructs what happened in Syria on April 15th and reported in twitter images. An Israeli drone attacks a Jeep belonging to…
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April 28, 2020Tags: Gerta Zaimi, Hezbollah, Israel, Lebanon
North Caucasus on the verge of social upheaval
Posted inConflict Situation Reports

North Caucasus on the verge of social upheaval

The North Caucasus is one of the most flawed regions for the central government of the Russian Federation. The uncontrolled COVID-19 spread in certain parts of the North Caucasus and…
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April 17, 2020Tags: North Caucasus
Standing Up to the Russian Bear: Will Russia Deploy Little Green Men Against Estonia After the Pandemic Ends?
Posted inConflict Estimates

Standing Up to the Russian Bear: Will Russia Deploy Little Green Men Against Estonia After the Pandemic Ends?

The small Baltic nation of Estonia was considered a “vassal” state  (Soviet Republic) within the U.S.S.R. from the time of its invasion and occupation by Soviet forces on June 17, 1940 until August…
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April 15, 2020Tags: David DeBatto, Estonia, Russia

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