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Bolivia’s Presidential Runoff (Oct. 19, 2025): Stakes, Scenarios, and Signals
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Bolivia’s Presidential Runoff (Oct. 19, 2025): Stakes, Scenarios, and Signals

Bolivia heads to its first-ever presidential runoff on October 19, 2025, after an upset first round ended two decades of MAS dominance. The match-up pits centrist senator Rodrigo Paz Pereira (≈32%) against conservative ex-president…
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September 29, 2025Tags: Bolivia
Russian-Backed Election Destabilization in Moldova – Intelligence Brief
Posted inDemocracy Governance Intelligence ops

Russian-Backed Election Destabilization in Moldova – Intelligence Brief

Parliamentary elections in Moldova are expected to be accompanied by a very high level of violence orchestrated by Russian intelligence, using mercenaries trained in Serbia. In light of this, we…
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September 27, 2025Tags: Moldova, Russia, Serbia
Removal of Presidential Term Limits in Chad: Who Benefits—and What Comes Next
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Removal of Presidential Term Limits in Chad: Who Benefits—and What Comes Next

After winning a disputed presidential election in May 2024 and consolidating a parliamentary majority, the presidency holds the legislative votes and coercive capacity to rewrite constitutional guardrails. Removing term limits…
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September 25, 2025Tags: Chad
The Kiriyenko Blueprint: Turning Moldova’s Election into an Operation
Posted inDemocracy Governance Intelligence ops National Security

The Kiriyenko Blueprint: Turning Moldova’s Election into an Operation

Elections on Sept. 28 will set Moldova’s course: a pro-European future or a return to Russia’s orbit. For years, Moscow has sought to bring Moldova to heel—through the buying of politicians,…
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September 25, 2025
Ballots and Provocations: Moscow’s Election Gambit in Moldova
Posted inDemocracy Intelligence ops National Security

Ballots and Provocations: Moscow’s Election Gambit in Moldova

Less than a week before parliamentary elections, Moldovan authorities conducted 250 searches targeting more than 100 people amid suspicions that Russia is attempting to destabilize the country and sway the…
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September 23, 2025Tags: Moldova, Russia
Guinea Votes on a Controversial New Constitution — What’s at Stake
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Guinea Votes on a Controversial New Constitution — What’s at Stake

uinea’s September 21, 2025 constitutional referendum is the pivotal moment of the country’s post-coup “transition.” The draft charter would lengthen presidential terms, create a Senate with seats the president can…
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September 22, 2025Tags: Guinea
Kozak’s Deals vs. Kiriyenko’s Political Tech
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Kozak’s Deals vs. Kiriyenko’s Political Tech

On September 18, 2025, Vladimir Putin signed a decree relieving Dmitry Kozak of his duties as Deputy Chief of Staffof the Presidential Administration. The Kremlin says he resigned “at his own request,” and Russian…
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September 19, 2025Tags: Kiriyenko, Kozak, Russia
Jamaica’s 2025 General Election: Actors, Outcomes, and What’s at Stake
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Jamaica’s 2025 General Election: Actors, Outcomes, and What’s at Stake

Jamaicans vote at Sept. 3 rd  for all 63 single-member constituencies (first-past-the-post). The race is competitive: the incumbent Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) seeks a third consecutive term against the People’s National Party (PNP). International observers (OAS) are…
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September 3, 2025Tags: Jamaica
Guyana’s 2025 Elections: Actors, Outcomes, and Risks
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Guyana’s 2025 Elections: Actors, Outcomes, and Risks

Guyanese voters are choosing a president and the 65-member National Assembly Sept. 1, 2025), with control over a world-class offshore oil boom at stake. Observers from the Commonwealth, EU, OAS…
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September 1, 2025Tags: Guyana
Coalitions, Crises, and Contestation: Malawi Faces a Decisive Vote
Posted inDemocracy Governance

Coalitions, Crises, and Contestation: Malawi Faces a Decisive Vote

The 2025 elections in Malawi are less about ideological divides and more about coalition-building, leadership credibility, and economic survival. The outcome will determine whether Malawi sustains its democratic trajectory—or slips into polarization…
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August 27, 2025Tags: Malawi

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