Posted inGeopolitics Estimates
Russian Geopolitical Paranoia
Russia sees itself as a long suffering victim of international aggression, therefore it must be ever vigilant for the next attack on its sovereignty. To the Russian people, it is a…
Posted inEstimates Intelligence ops
Working with the diasporas as an expansion and imperialism tool
Russia and Serbia aggressively support their compatriots abroad. Their approach to regulate this issue legislatively is quite similar. It reflects a strongly Orthodox martyrdom narrative. The protection of compatriots worldwide is…
Muqtada al-Sadr: America’s Last Opportunity for Lasting Peace in Iraq
Muqtada al-Sadr is arguably the most powerful person in Iraq. Son of the deceased, popular Shiite leader and cleric, Grand Ayatollah Mohammad Sadeq al-Sadr, he commands a large and well-armed Iraqi…
Republika Srpska’s secession from BiH is impossible technically and pushes the Balkans in a new wave of violence
The technical impossibility of Republika Srpska’s secession from Bosnia and Herzegovina might destabilize the situation in the Balkans that internal and external forces can benefit. Such a scenario may occur…
Posted inEstimates Intelligence ops
Naval updates threaten underwater comms systems with sabotage attack
Within last 3 years the Russian Navy deep-sea forces has been developed actively and rapidly and their operations significantly increased. Russia’s spy-ship Yantar (project 22010) is a carrier for mini-submarines…
The future after Moldova’s reintegration
Moldova reverts to the plans for reintegration of Transnistria separatist republic developed in 2003. This initiative is obviously revived from the outside and does not come from the leadership of this…
Posted inEstimates Governance
PACE crisis raises risk of the EU collapse
The Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe is rapidly losing its effectiveness and is becoming a formal platform that imitates protection of democracy, human rights and the rule of…
Economic migration: growth driver or crisis trigger?
Until present time international analysts have concluded that migrants will promote resolving labor shortage problem and increasing economic growth. As of today the policy to cover the labor shortage by…
Posted inDrug trafficking Estimates Terrorism
Russia contributes to the far-left forces, drug cartels and Islamists merger in Latin America
Cooperating closely with Iran and China Russia fully fell back into the Soviet Union pattern in performing its policy in Latin America. The Kremlin builds anti-American ideas in the region…
Posted inEstimates Intelligence ops
Russia’s attempts to bring the separatist movements to international platforms threatens EU
Russia is trying to set a precedent participating in the work of international organizations through the representatives of unrecognized states. If such plan is pursued, separatist movements around the world,…