Estimates Archives - Page 5 of 6 - Robert Lansing Institute

PACE crisis raises risk of the EU collapse

The Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe is rapidly losing its effectiveness and is becoming a formal platform that imitates protection of democracy, human rights and the rule of…

February 11, 2020Council of Europe PA, EU

Economy Estimates

Economic migration: growth driver or crisis trigger?

Until present time international analysts have concluded that migrants will promote resolving labor shortage problem and increasing economic growth. As of today the policy to cover the labor shortage by…

February 7, 2020economy, migration

Drug trafficking Estimates Terrorism

Russia contributes to the far-left forces, drug cartels and Islamists merger in Latin America

Cooperating closely with Iran and China Russia fully fell back into the Soviet Union pattern in performing its policy in Latin America. The Kremlin builds anti-American ideas in the region…

January 27, 2020ALBA, Cuba, Hezbollah, Latin America, Nicaragua, Russia

Estimates Intelligence ops

Russia’s attempts to bring the separatist movements to international platforms threatens EU

Russia is trying to set a precedent participating in the work of international organizations through the representatives of unrecognized states. If such plan is pursued, separatist movements around the world,…

January 27, 2020AfD, Council of Europe PA, Russia

Estimates Governance

Constitutional amendments in Russia not to change the person of the president

The constitutional amendments voiced by Vladimir Putin in his message to the Federal Assembly focus on preparing the multiscenario options in 2024. The Kremlin’s key task is to lay the…

January 22, 2020Russia

Estimates Governance

Education permission policy as for the students from enemy countries needs changed

The U.S. Department of State can put effective education pressure on enemy countries. Leaders of the countries demonstrating aggressive rhetoric against the United States and our EU partners continue sending…

January 17, 2020China, education, Iran, Russia, USA

Estimates Warfare

Russian air defense systems fail technologically in target recognition

Russian air defense systems are ineffective and fail technically, jeopardizing civilian aircraft. On January 8, Russian Tor-M1 operated by Iran brought down UAI civil Boeing 737-800 flying from Tehran to…

January 14, 2020Air-defense, Iran, PS752, Russia, Tor M1

Estimates Intelligence ops

Russian GRU involved in fueling religious tensions in Balkans

Russia’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GRU) deploys its agents in Kosovo under the guide of a UN Mission (UNIMK) to provide influence ops.Their participation in protests against the freedom of religion law in Montenegro…

January 13, 2020GRU, Kosovo, Montenegro, Orthodox church, Russia, Serbia

Conflict Estimates

The Kremlin uses the Syrian campaign to reduce terrorist threat in Russia

Having intention to reduce tensions in the Caucasus and other Muslim highly concentrated regions of Russia, the Russian security services facilitated radical Russian citizens’ departure for areas of terrorist activity.…

December 30, 2019DAESH, FSB, Russia, Syria

Estimates Geopolitics

Deterioration in Cuba-Venezuela relations can trigger the fall of dictatorship regimes in Latin America

Cuban military and intelligence personnel help Nicolás Maduro stay in power and survive in social, economic, and humanitarian crisis. At the same time Venezuelan oil continues to provide much needed…

December 20, 2019Cuba, Venezuela

Estimates