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Muqtada al-Sadr: America’s Last Opportunity for Lasting Peace in Iraq

Muqtada al-Sadr is arguably the most powerful person in Iraq. Son of the deceased, popular Shiite leader and cleric, Grand Ayatollah Mohammad Sadeq al-Sadr, he commands a large and well-armed Iraqi…

February 28, 2020David DeBatto, Iran, Iraq, Muqtada Al-Sadr, USA

Conflict Estimates

Republika Srpska’s secession from BiH is impossible technically and pushes the Balkans in a new wave of violence

The technical impossibility of Republika Srpska’s secession from Bosnia and Herzegovina might destabilize the situation in the Balkans that internal and external forces can benefit. Such a scenario may occur…

February 21, 2020Balkans, Bosnia and Herzegovina, EU, NATO, Republica Srpska, Russia, Serbia

Estimates Intelligence ops

Naval updates threaten underwater comms systems with sabotage attack

Within last 3 years the Russian Navy deep-sea forces has been developed actively and rapidly and their operations significantly increased. Russia’s spy-ship Yantar (project 22010) is a carrier for mini-submarines…

February 19, 2020GRU, GUGI, intelligence, NAVY, Russia

Conflict Estimates

The future after Moldova’s reintegration

Moldova reverts to the plans for reintegration of Transnistria separatist republic developed in 2003. This initiative is obviously revived from the outside and does not come from the leadership of this…

February 14, 2020Moldova, Russia, Transnistria

Estimates Governance

PACE crisis raises risk of the EU collapse

The Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe is rapidly losing its effectiveness and is becoming a formal platform that imitates protection of democracy, human rights and the rule of…

February 11, 2020Council of Europe PA, EU

Economy Estimates

Economic migration: growth driver or crisis trigger?

Until present time international analysts have concluded that migrants will promote resolving labor shortage problem and increasing economic growth. As of today the policy to cover the labor shortage by…

February 7, 2020economy, migration

Drug trafficking Estimates Terrorism

Russia contributes to the far-left forces, drug cartels and Islamists merger in Latin America

Cooperating closely with Iran and China Russia fully fell back into the Soviet Union pattern in performing its policy in Latin America. The Kremlin builds anti-American ideas in the region…

January 27, 2020ALBA, Cuba, Hezbollah, Latin America, Nicaragua, Russia

Estimates Intelligence ops

Russia’s attempts to bring the separatist movements to international platforms threatens EU

Russia is trying to set a precedent participating in the work of international organizations through the representatives of unrecognized states. If such plan is pursued, separatist movements around the world,…

January 27, 2020AfD, Council of Europe PA, Russia

Estimates Governance

Constitutional amendments in Russia not to change the person of the president

The constitutional amendments voiced by Vladimir Putin in his message to the Federal Assembly focus on preparing the multiscenario options in 2024. The Kremlin’s key task is to lay the…

January 22, 2020Russia

Estimates Governance

Education permission policy as for the students from enemy countries needs changed

The U.S. Department of State can put effective education pressure on enemy countries. Leaders of the countries demonstrating aggressive rhetoric against the United States and our EU partners continue sending…

January 17, 2020China, education, Iran, Russia, USA

Estimates

Muqtada al-Sadr: America’s Last Opportunity for Lasting Peace in Iraq

Republika Srpska’s secession from BiH is impossible technically and pushes the Balkans in a new wave of violence

Naval updates threaten underwater comms systems with sabotage attack

The future after Moldova’s reintegration

PACE crisis raises risk of the EU collapse

Economic migration: growth driver or crisis trigger?

Russia contributes to the far-left forces, drug cartels and Islamists merger in Latin America

Russia’s attempts to bring the separatist movements to international platforms threatens EU

Constitutional amendments in Russia not to change the person of the president

Education permission policy as for the students from enemy countries needs changed

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