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Geopolitics

It is unlikely that Moscow will escalate its conflict with the West in the near future, even if the latter makes decisions in favor of Ukraine
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

It is unlikely that Moscow will escalate its conflict with the West in the near future, even if the latter makes decisions in favor of Ukraine

Ukraine's operation on Russian territory (in the Kursk region) has revealed that the Kremlin's rhetoric about so-called "red lines" is a psychological operation aimed at exerting pressure on U.S. and…
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September 11, 2024Tags: NATO, Russia, USA
Russia Unwilling to Defend Iran’s Interests Despite Strategic Use
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

Russia Unwilling to Defend Iran’s Interests Despite Strategic Use

In the South Caucasus, a clash of interests involving Iran, Turkey, and Azerbaijan continues, with Russia aligning itself with Ankara and Baku at the expense of Tehran’s goals. Turkey and…
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September 6, 2024Tags: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Russia, Turkiye
Eswatini-Zuma Marriage: political, economic, and social implications for Eswatini and South Africa
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

Eswatini-Zuma Marriage: political, economic, and social implications for Eswatini and South Africa

Eswatini's King Mswati III's plans to wed Nomcebo Zuma, the daughter of former South African President Jacob Zuma, as his 16th wife. This will strengthen the ties between the two leaders.…
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September 3, 2024Tags: Eswatini, South Africa
Ethiopia’s Fears of Losing regional Influence
Posted inGeopolitics

Ethiopia’s Fears of Losing regional Influence

The tension between Ethiopia and Egypt appears to have escalated as Cairo extends support to Somalia's peace mission and an offer of security personnel to replace the African Union-backed force,…
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September 2, 2024Tags: Egypt, Ethiopia, Somalia, Somaliland
Türkiye seeks to maintain a balance against the potential disruption of geostrategic interests
Posted inGeopolitics Peacekeeping

Türkiye seeks to maintain a balance against the potential disruption of geostrategic interests

Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud announced in a hard-hitting televised speech on the evening of 17 August that his country would not hold further talks with Ethiopia unless it "recognises the sovereignty…
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August 23, 2024Tags: Ethiopia, Somalia, Turkiye
High Probability of Power Transition Preparations in Belarus
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

High Probability of Power Transition Preparations in Belarus

There are growing indicators that Alexander Lukashenko is preparing for a power transition in Belarus. It appears likely that he is aiming for a controlled and self-managed transfer of power,…
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August 21, 2024Tags: Belarus, Russia, Ukraine
Sinwar’s appointment unifies the military and political wings of Hamas
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

Sinwar’s appointment unifies the military and political wings of Hamas

Hamas’ decision to name Yahya Sinwar, a long-time military zealot, as its new political chief will centre the group’s decision-making in embattled Gaza, shore up the group’s ties with its primary backer…
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August 13, 2024Tags: HAMAS, Palestine, Yahya Sinwar
France’s Western Sahara shift
Posted inGeoeconomics Geopolitics

France’s Western Sahara shift

After years of diplomatic tensions, France has reversed course on its decades-old position by recognizing Morocco’s sovereignty over the Western Sahara. In late July, Paris formally endorsed Morocco's autonomy plan for…
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August 9, 2024Tags: Algeria, France, Western Sahara
Kremlin’s Efforts to Incite a Larger War in the Middle East Involving Iran and Israel
Posted inConflict Geopolitics National Security Warfare

Kremlin’s Efforts to Incite a Larger War in the Middle East Involving Iran and Israel

Following an unsuccessful attempt to provoke a full-scale conflict in the Middle East through an attack on Israel from Palestinian territories in 2023, the Kremlin is now striving to incite…
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August 5, 2024Tags: Iran, Israel, Russia
Israel wants to drag the US into a wider conflict in the Middle East
Posted inConflict Geopolitics National Security

Israel wants to drag the US into a wider conflict in the Middle East

The assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on 31 July, which came one day after the killing of Hezbollah’s commander Fuad Shukr in Beirut, leaves Iran’s leadership dishonored. That the Israeli assassination…
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August 1, 2024Tags: Iran, Israel, USA

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